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The global central banks are closely watching Japan's "policy shift experiment"—is this a milestone in economic recovery, or the fuse for a new round of crisis?

The market is betting on a rate hike to 0.75% in July, but the US-Japan interest rate differential, the yen exchange rate (in the 146-151 range), and the reversal of $4 billion in arbitrage trades are the biggest variables!

The surge in government bond yields by 1.5% has triggered a fiscal deficit crisis.

Banking sector frenzy (Mitsui Sumitomo earns 90 billion yen annually) VS the winter of the real economy (bankruptcy rate of small and medium enterprises hits a ten-year high).

Core contradiction: Trump’s tariff threat (dragging down Japan's GDP growth by 0.5%) VS persistent high inflation (CPI exceeding 2% for 34 consecutive months).

The Bank of Japan maintained the benchmark interest rate at 0.5% on March 19, marking the first policy pause after ending negative interest rates! #日本利率决议 $BTC

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