$BTC #BTC走势分析 《Bitcoin is stuck at the 84,000 mark! What's next, a rocket launch or free fall?》

The market manipulators have set up a triple liquidation trap at the 84,000 position, making my ashtray almost full of cigarette butts while I watch the market! In the range of 84,000 to 85,000, the market has repeatedly attempted to break through but has failed, forming a short-term 'supply zone'; simply put, selling pressure is relatively strong here.

From the weekly and daily charts, the weekly rebound is weak, and the daily chart has not been able to stabilize at the midpoint, indicating that there is still significant pressure above. However, due to favorable data this week, U.S. stocks have temporarily halted their decline, providing the market with some breathing space.

There are also many uncertainties in the market:

- 'Insider Brother's' short position has been closed; it's unclear whether he is temporarily stepping back or has switched wallets. Personally, I lean towards him temporarily stepping back, as with his scale, switching wallets would quickly be detected by the market.

In the short term, I lean towards a fluctuating market between 82,000 and 85,000. The data we can see is:

- Above 85,000, there are 230,000 BTC in futures short positions, worth about 20 billion USD.

- Between 82,000 and 84,000, there are 150,000 BTC in spot accumulation.

- Large buy orders are concentrated between 80,000 and 82,000, while large sell orders are concentrated between 84,000 and 87,000.

Therefore, the intraday trading strategy is clear: operate between 82,000 and 85,000, trying to avoid the midpoint, and prioritize stability!

Some may ask: what if it goes up or breaks down?

- If it breaks above 85,000, you can go long, set a stop loss at 84,000, and target 88,000, or even 91,000 (last year's Wall Street cost zone).

- If it breaks below 80,000, target 76,000, with a second target of 73,000.

As for whether one can short the market without institutional participation?

- If Binance's long positions exceed 65%, market manipulators are likely to crash the market.

- When breaking levels, trading volume must increase significantly, at least three times the usual volume.

To summarize, the views of all analysts are quite similar: it may rise, it may fall, and horizontal trading cannot be ruled out! The key is to have your own trading logic.

In the past two years, the path of trading has become longer, and my time spent watching the market has also increased. As someone in my thirties, I've started to lose hair, and I just hope to go a bit further down the path I enjoy!

Alright, if you want to keep up with my real-time operations, give me a follow!