“Will there be no interest rate cuts in 2025? Is the cryptocurrency market and stock market about to face a ‘bloodbath’?”

Market Analysis

The hope for a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve has been dashed, and the interest rate cuts that the market was expecting may be completely off the table. This means that liquidity will not loosen further, and the cost of capital remains high, putting pressure on high-risk assets such as Bitcoin, altcoins, and even US tech stocks. Although the cryptocurrency market is still fluctuating, sentiment has become cautious, and some funds may withdraw early to seek safety.

Technical Analysis (using BTC as an example)

Support Levels:

1. $63,500 (short-term key support, breaking this could trigger panic)

2. $61,800 (market sentiment inflection point)

3. $60,000 (psychological barrier, if lost, may enter deep correction)

Key Levels:

1. $65,000 (the line that bulls must defend)

2. $67,200 (if broken, the market may regain strength)

3. $70,000 (bulls' ultimate challenge zone, breaking this may trigger new highs)

Short-term Long and Short Contract Strategies

Long Strategy

Entry Point: Enter when breaking $65,000

Stop Loss: $64,200

Take Profit: $67,200

Short Strategy

Entry Point: Enter when falling below $63,500

Stop Loss: $64,100

Take Profit: $61,800

If the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates throughout the year, the market may enter a “de-leveraging mode” in advance, and the cryptocurrency market may face a round of adjustments in the short term. However, historical experience shows that during phases of monetary policy tightening, significant market declines often create new opportunities for positioning. If Bitcoin can stabilize between $60,000-$62,000, there is still a chance to challenge historical highs in the second half of the year.

Cryptocurrency believers' motto: Before the storm, hold your chips; after the storm, the king returns!