In the dead of night, you refresh the exchange page for the 37th time; the candlestick chart twitches like an ECG, while your account balance performs free fall. Those technical indicators revered as standards seem to collectively betray; the MACD golden cross has become a death kiss, and the contraction of Bollinger Bands has turned into a noose—this magical scene continues to unfold daily in the crypto world of 2025, only the retail investors have changed from one batch to another.
1. The Black Humor of Technical Analysis
Traders love to compare the crypto world to a casino, yet no one dares to admit they are the designed gambler. When you draw the 8th trend line on a four-hour chart at three in the morning, the big players are using algorithms to harvest all perfect patterns; when you cheer for a breakout of the previous high and prepare to go all in, whales have already planted directional explosives in the options market. Those so-called 'strategies' that claim to predict ups and downs differ from astrology only by a mathematical disguise.
2. The Moment of Cognitive Reconstruction
Real hunters never worry about where the rabbit runs; they only set traps on essential paths. Replace 'I think it will rise' with 'If it breaks the neckline, I will take a 5% position to test'; replace 'It will definitely double' with 'If the risk-reward ratio is suitable at this position, I will enter'—when you start to use probability thinking instead of subjective assumptions, you have touched the doorknob of systematic investing.
3. Systematic Hunting Rules
1. Establish a Signal Verification Mechanism
Don't rush to pull the trigger before dawn; wait until the sun truly rises above the horizon. Is the double bottom pattern formed and breaking the neckline? Wait until the closing price stabilizes before acting. Is the ETH 2.0 upgrade good news released? Wait for real staking growth to appear in on-chain data. The market always rewards the clear-headed who are a step late.
2. Design Anti-Fragile Positions
Divide funds into scouts, main forces, and reserves: 10% for test orders to confirm trends, 30% for adding positions during pullbacks to expand gains, and always keep the remaining ammunition in the trench. Remember, the surviving hunter never puts all bullets in the same gun.
3. Write a Stop Loss Escape Agreement
Equip every trade with an ejector seat: immediately stop loss if it breaks the previous low by 3%, retreat immediately if good news falls back. Don't fall in love with the market; your task is to survive to see tomorrow's sun.
4. Forge a Cognitive Iteration System
Weekly reviewing trading records is like cleaning a gun barrel: Why didn't I seize the explosion of AI + DeFi? Why hesitate during the collective movement of Layer 2? Using the wrong notebook function to record every cognitive blind spot, you'll find that market loopholes are far more regular than technical indicators.
At this moment, the morning light outside the window is faint, those retail investors who stayed up late drawing lines are dreaming of getting rich, while you have built a 24/7 combat system. There is no perpetual motion machine in the crypto world, but there is an incessant cognitive upgrade—when you lock emotions in a cage of rules and use mechanical discipline to combat human weaknesses, wealth will knock on your door in unexpected ways.
Those who understand have already liked and followed, letting newcomers continue to be lost in the noise. I trade crypto based on first principles; see you next time!
(Note: This article does not constitute investment advice; the market has risks, and decisions should be made cautiously.)