Survival Guide in the Crypto World: The Intelligence Network and Anti-Cut Strategies of Smart Money

01 There are no new things in the crypto space, only incomplete news.

In the crypto space of 2025, information warfare has entered a heated stage. Some have positioned themselves early with a news piece, others sense risk by scrolling through community dynamics, and some eavesdrop on 'big shots' at offline events—information asymmetry is a money printing machine, and 90% of newcomers often lose at the raw human stage of the intelligence system.

Five Intelligence Bases of Smart Money

Base 1: The 'Sweeping Monk' of Professional Media

Don't think traditional media is outdated in the crypto space. Those vertical media outlets that have been deeply involved in the industry for years often hide analysts of 'Sweeping Monk' level. They may not call trades every day, but a deep industry research report is worth a hundred 'pump it now' messages in communities. Remember, when looking at media, focus on who is telling the truth, not who is loudest.

Base 2: The 'Disclaimer' on the Project's Official Website

Real first-hand information is always hidden in the corners of the project's official website—like a code update log or minutes from a community meeting. These 'dry contents' written in the smallest font are often the Morse code for smart money to decipher the intentions of the market makers.

Base 3: The 'Subtext' of KOLs

Following ten signal-calling influencers is not as good as closely watching one technical KOL who loves to speak in industry jargon. When they suddenly start detailing the technical features of a niche blockchain in a live stream or repeatedly emphasize 'pay attention to contract safety', those in the know will understand.

Base 4: The 'Under Currents' in Communities

Telegram groups at three in the morning often have more valuable information than Twitter during the day. When a project group that has been silent for half a year suddenly has dozens of newcomers asking for wallet addresses, or administrators start frequently retracting messages, it's the crypto version of 'earthquake precursors'.

Base 5: 'Restroom Socializing' at Offline Events

The essence of industry summits isn't in the main venue, but in the coffee break area and restrooms. A single sentence from two VC partners saying 'recently looking at a certain track' might be worth more than the entire presentation. Remember to dress appropriately—no one wants to discuss insider information with a 'bystander' in flip-flops.

Three Layers of Defense Against Cuts for Old Hands

Barrier 1: Triangle Validation Method

Don't rush to go all in when you hear good news; first, play a game of 'let's find the flaws':

1️⃣ Horizontal Comparison: Check if the same keywords appear in media, communities, and KOLs.

2️⃣ Vertical Tracking: Check if the project's actions in the past three months form a logical chain.

3️⃣ Reverse Investigation: Check if anyone in competing communities suddenly breaks down and starts cursing.

Barrier 2: Time Tempering Technique

Put any message through three time dimensions for verification:

Short-term (1 week): Does it trigger unusual activity on exchanges?

Mid-term (1 month): Can it support the fundamental narrative?

Long-term (3 months): Will it be included in regulatory white papers?

Barrier 3: Stress Test Scenarios

Spend ten minutes before bed doing 'soul-searching':

If this information is released by market makers, what position do they want me to take?

If all KOLs are promoting the same concept, shouldn't we look for opposing logic?

If I wake up tomorrow and find this is fake news, where is my stop-loss line?

The Dark Forest Rule of the Intelligence World

In this battlefield of half-true and half-fake news, the most dangerous often isn't fake news, but the 'half-true half-fake' smokescreen. A technical upgrade may be true, but the launch date could be deliberately obscured; a partnership may be real, but the actual weight of the partner could be exaggerated tenfold.

Remember, what truly helps you navigate bull and bear markets is not some mysterious channel, but cultivating 'information cleanliness'—only consuming sanitized nutritious meals and rejecting all roadside stalls with unclear origins.

Those who understand have already liked and followed, letting newcomers continue to get lost in the noise. I am a first-principles trader, see you next time!

(Tip: This article does not constitute investment advice, the market has risks, and decisions should be made cautiously.)