$BTC 3.16.BTC.ETH. Afternoon Thought Sharing

Next week is set to迎来 a crucial decision whose importance is self-evident. Before that, there is one last wait for 86; if this opportunity is missed, the situation may become very dangerous. Next week is destined to be full of changes, filled with many uncertainties. It is even possible that the real bottom of this round will be born during this period. One important reason for all this is the related actions of Old Trump. What he is doing is largely forcing Powell to accelerate the rate cut process or to end quantitative tightening (QT) early. Therefore, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this Thursday is undoubtedly of utmost importance.

In my view, there is a high probability that the market will first explore the bottom before entering a period of sustained volatility. Take the American Valley as an example; it is currently in the stage of artificially eliminating bubbles. Although many stocks still have a significant bubble component, the entire process of deflating bubbles is already underway. From a data perspective, the PPI data performs fairly well, indicating that inflation has been alleviated to some extent from the production side. However, new problems have emerged. Once tariff policies begin to be implemented, the impact of import tariffs cannot be underestimated; inflation levels are expected to continue rising as a result, and this situation is likely to last for at least three months.

Bringing the focus back to tomorrow, which is when the weekly line closes. If the weekly line closes below 8.3, then for next week, one needs to be psychologically prepared for a偏孔中继.