🚨 Last time, in 2020, it triggered a MASSIVE bull run.
Will history repeat itself? Here’s everything you need to know:
🧥 MEGA THREAD 👇
1/ Before we start...
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2/ What Are Fed Rate Cuts?
✦ When the economy slows, the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates to stimulate growth.
✦ Lower rates make borrowing cheaper, leading to increased investment and spending.
✦ More liquidity enters the system—often fueling riskier assets like crypto.
3/ 2020 Rate Cuts – The Bull Run Trigger
✦ Before COVID-19, rates were already low (1.5% – 1.75%).
✦ The pandemic triggered two emergency rate cuts:
• First: 50 bps (0.5%)
• Second: 100 bps (1%)
✦ This sent rates to 0% – 0.25%, making credit dirt cheap.
✦ Liquidity surged into the markets, pushing crypto into a historic rally.
4/ How Did It Impact Crypto?
✦ Low rates & excessive liquidity supercharged the 2020-2021 bull market.
✦ Bitcoin exploded, alts followed, and meme coins went parabolic.
✦ But inflation soon followed, forcing the Fed to tighten monetary policy.
5/ 2024 Rate Cuts – What Happened?
✦ The Fed cut rates again this year, injecting fresh liquidity.
✦ This triggered a memecoin frenzy and rapid market rebounds.
✦ Just like 2020—but with a wilder twist.
6/ 2025 Rate Cuts – What’s Coming?
✦ After aggressive hikes (2022-2024), rates peaked at 5.50% (20-year high).
✦ Now, cuts are set to begin, but the strategy will be different from 2020.
7/ March 18-19 FOMC Meeting – The Moment of Truth
✦ The Fed is expected to start rate cuts in just 3 days.
✦ Initial moves will likely be cautious:
• 25 bps or 50 bps reduction.
✦ But even a small cut could ignite bullish momentum.
8/ 2020 vs. 2025 Rate Cuts – Key Differences
✦ Starting rates:
• 2020: Near 0% → Liquidity injection was huge.
• 2025: 4.33% - 5.50% → More room for cuts, but slower impact.
✦ Pace of cuts:
• 2020: Aggressive, emergency-style rate reductions.
• 2025: Gradual easing, cautious policy adjustments.
9/ What This Means for Crypto
✦ Lower rates = bullish for risk assets.
✦ But this time, liquidity won’t flood in overnight.
✦ Growth will be slower but more sustainable compared to 2020.
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