Why did MACD give false signals for growth after 20.02.2025?

At first glance, the transition of MACD into the green zone after 20.02.2025 might have seemed like the beginning of a new upward trend. However, as we can see, BTC was unable to establish itself above and continued to fluctuate without a clear trend. Why did this happen?

🔹 Weak volume dynamics – each transition into the green zone was not accompanied by a significant increase in volume. Without buyer support, the momentum quickly faded.

🔹 Resistance from EMA(50) and EMA(21) – these levels acted as barriers that the price could not overcome. Under such conditions, the growth appeared more like short-term bounces.

🔹 Overbought according to RSI(6) – short-term RSI readings repeatedly entered the overbought zone, provoking profit-taking and reversals.

🔹 Overall bearish background – by 20.02, $BTC was already in a downward trend, so even local impulses could not change the global trend.

Conclusion: MACD in the context of a downward trend can give false signals. It is important to look at volumes, resistance levels, and confirmations from other indicators before opening a position.