These days, the most asked question in the backend is: 'Is the bull market still on?'
Regarding this issue, thirteen has clearly stated in recent articles that the logic of the bull market is still there, but the market remains weak in the short term, with relatively high downside risks.
This does not contradict the viewpoint in yesterday's article; the mid to long-term outlook remains bullish.
However, the short-term pressure is indeed quite significant.
Trump's tariff policy and trade war are indeed the direct causes of this market panic; with tariffs increasing, companies can't make money, whether in the US or other countries, thus the market is very tense, and everyone is fleeing to safety. Funds are also looking to shift to safe-haven assets like gold, which now has a market cap over 13 times that of Bitcoin.
Additionally, there are concerns about the overall economic recession in the US. Trump may want to force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates through various manipulative means, but the Federal Reserve is ignoring him, leading to expectations of an economic downturn; perhaps this is a script that Trump has already written.
High-tech companies are overvalued in this round of the market, creating a certain bubble. Bitcoin is no exception, so the market is taking this opportunity to initiate a correction and squeeze out the bubble.
In a bull market, Bitcoin usually experiences a 30-40% pullback before the market regains strength and reaches its peak.
When will the big market begin?
It's easy to judge: the US stock market continues to decline, the market is trapped in recession expectations, and the Federal Reserve has to step in and start cutting interest rates, while Trump also begins various policies to stimulate the economy...
At this point, the market is about to take off.
The script for this round of the market is likely to follow this direction.
2, is now a suitable time to enter the market?
For new members in the thirteen circle, my advice is to start with a 30% base position and then dollar-cost average based on the market conditions.
If the market pulls back, where will it go? Bitcoin is expected to drop to the 70,000-74,000 range.
If there are no significant negative factors or black swans in the US stock market, the upcoming market should still be mainly oscillatory.
The best strategy now is daily dollar-cost averaging, but many friends are already fully invested, so there's no way around it; we can only tough it out through this winter.
Don't worry, you won't have to endure for too long this year.
Because we can withstand spot investment, while the US stock market cannot. Once panic is triggered, various crises will arise, which is something both Trump and the Federal Reserve do not want to see.
So, the days ahead may be tough, but they are still filled with hope.
If the market drops to the 70,000-74,000 range, everyone can enter confidently, whether it's Bitcoin or Ethereum, you can buy with your eyes closed.
Of course, no one can predict the future market clearly, and one should always maintain a reasonable position.
Important positions must be held in Bitcoin; this bull market requires it, and the next bull market will be even more so.
After this bull market ends and enters a bear market, thirteen will have to start repositioning.
We will continue to increase the weight of Bitcoin.
Perhaps in ten or twenty years, the crypto space will be synonymous with Bitcoin.
Occupying 90% of the market cap in the crypto space, the remaining projects account for 10%.
This is also the reason why so many big players can mindlessly go all in on Bitcoin.
3, these days thirteen has released some strategies within the circle.
Everyone must be cautious and try with small positions and low leverage; at this stage, it is purely for entertainment, and strict profit-taking and stop-loss measures must be executed. Absolutely do not hold onto losing positions.
The market has been too boring these days, oscillating within a very small range.
The time for a market change won't be too long; it could be a black swan causing the market to continue to crash, or it could be the Federal Reserve releasing expectations of interest rate cuts, causing the market to surge instantly.
Regardless of ups and downs, everyone must maintain a calm mindset.
There will definitely be a big market waiting for us in 2025.
The possibility of entering a bear market in 2025 is very low, but by 2026, that possibility does exist. Many veteran investors that thirteen knows have not chosen to cut their losses and exit.
Such turbulence is common before the climax of the crypto market.
Everyone should not be scared silly by the news about various whales cutting their losses and exiting.
They all have strict position risk management. When it reaches the profit-taking or stop-loss point, they will decisively exit.
Because they often leverage their positions, if they hit the liquidation point, they will be wiped out, plus their funds are from clients and have a cost.
We can look at strategies from dead bulls and giants like BlackRock; why do they dare to keep buying?
Are they just inexperienced investors? Or are they just burning excess money, giving warmth to the short sellers?
The scenery they can see is something we will never have access to.
Trump fears nothing, but would he dare to touch Wall Street? He wouldn't.
Keep it up, crypto community.
Let's clear the fog of information together and gain insight into the true essence of the market. Comment with 1 for free assistance.
