What to expect for next week in the crypto market?

US Interest Rates x TRUMP x Trade War - market manipulation

Everyone already knows (or should know) that TRUMP is manipulating the market in order to lower interest rates to renegotiate the American debt.

For those who are still uninformed, the President of the United States is imposing tariffs on products from various countries, with the aim of instilling fear of an economic recession in society and the financial market, reducing consumption and inflation, thereby enabling a decrease in interest rates.

In this scenario, if he can convince the FED to lower interest rates, he will have the opportunity to renegotiate debts at better prices.

And what will next week be like?

On March 19, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its decision on interest rates and release economic projections, followed by a press conference.

If interest rates decrease, both the traditional market and the cryptocurrency market could see a good rise.

However, don’t get too excited yet.

The probability of an interest rate cut next week is approximately 2 - 3%, based on market expectations and expert opinions.

That is, according to data updated on March 14, 2025, the financial market indicates a 98% probability that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25% to 4.50%, which is not exciting news.

This expectation is corroborated by the CME FedWatch tool, which analyzes the probabilities of changes in the Fed's rate based on the prices of Fed Funds futures.

Although TRUMP has shaken the market, it has not yet been sufficient for his intended purpose.

So buckle up, and hold on tight to the volatility, because it seems that next week we will not have good rises in the market.