30% Correction or Preparation for Explosion? What to Expect from Bitcoin in 2025

The 30% drop in Bitcoin since the beginning of 2025 may seem frightening to some, but, analyzing previous cycles, this type of correction is completely normal and even healthy within a bullish market.

Corrections Before the Explosion: A Recurring Pattern

Historically, before reaching new highs, Bitcoin has always gone through significant corrections, eliminating excess leverage and consolidating new support.

🔹 2016-2017: After the 2016 halving, BTC corrected about 35% before starting its explosion to $20,000 in 2017.

🔹 2020-2021: After the 2020 halving, BTC experienced drops of 30-40% at some moments before reaching $69,000 in November 2021.

This shows that drops of this magnitude do not invalidate the long-term trend, but rather serve as accumulation moments before new bullish rallies.

The Size of the Next Explosion

If Bitcoin follows the pattern of previous cycles, we can project a new high based on its historical appreciation post-halving:

📈 Post-halving appreciation pattern:

2012-2013: Increase of +9,000%

2016-2017: Increase of +2,900%

2020-2021: Increase of +660%

With each cycle, the percentage of appreciation tends to decrease due to market growth and increased institutional adoption. However, even with a more modest increase of 300-500%, we could see Bitcoin reaching between $328,000 and $492,000 by the end of 2025.

Of course, various factors influence this forecast, such as global monetary policies, institutional adoption, and market demand itself. But, if history serves as a guide, the big surge is still to come. 🚀