Summary in One Sentence: Today's market shows a corrective rebound; among the 17 key coins selected by AI, 9 have short-term rebound potential (focusing on compliant tracks and policy-related targets), while 8 need to be wary of technical correction risks, with a maximum realized profit of +10.47%. Market sentiment is driven by both geopolitical easing and policy games; it is recommended to dynamically adjust positions based on technical signals.
👉 Real-time Signal Verification: Data is updated hourly; please check the latest on-chain data and long/short position distribution at buyx.ink before operating.
1. Overall Market Trend Analysis
Macroeconomic Background and Sentiment
Geopolitical risks have eased: The temporary ceasefire agreement in Ukraine and the easing of the US-Canada trade war have boosted risk appetite, with the total cryptocurrency market capitalization rebounding over $90 billion in a single day, and Bitcoin returning to the $82,000 mark. On-chain data shows significant alleviation of short-selling pressure, with marginal improvement in market short-term liquidity.
Policy Game Deepens: The Trump administration promotes the 'strategic Bitcoin reserve' plan, but actual execution relies on confiscated assets rather than fiscal purchases, coexisting long-term benefits and short-term selling pressure. The US House of Representatives repeals IRS DeFi broker regulations, reducing compliance costs for decentralized exchanges, benefiting targets like #BNX on the DeFi track.
Federal Reserve Policy Expectations: Today's released US February CPI data is a key variable; if inflation rebounds above expectations, it may strengthen liquidity tightening expectations, suppressing the valuation recovery of crypto assets.
Key Technical Signals
Bitcoin: Stabilizing at the $82,761 resistance level on the 4-hour timeframe, with the MACD golden cross initially appearing; if it breaks $84,000, it may start a new round of rebound; if it falls below $80,000, be wary of a short-seller counterattack.
Altcoin Differentiation Intensifies: Clear capital inflow into the compliant track (like #hbar ) while high-leverage coins (like #MOVE) see negative funding rates, reflecting a structural shift in market risk appetite.
2. Recommended Buy Currency Logic Analysis
Policy Relevance and Compliant Track
**#hbar **: Benefiting from institutions accelerating their layout of compliant public chains, Standard Chartered Bank predicts its ecological TVL may double within the year, technically breaking the key resistance level of $0.12, with a short-term target of $0.15.
**#Bnx **: The repeal of DeFi broker regulations directly benefits decentralized derivatives protocols; on-chain data shows its DEX trading volume increased by 45% week-on-week, with sufficient rebound momentum.
**#OBT**: Trump's policy spillover effect target; although the 'celebrity coin' craze has receded, there are still short-term opportunities to bet on policy catalysts (like the small crypto meeting at the White House).
Low Market Cap Potential Coins
**#SUNDOG **, #PLUME**: AI + Blockchain concept target, with significant capital intervention after a technical oversell, but beware of liquidity risk; setting an 8% stop-loss is recommended [^User Historical Analysis].
**#KONET**: Cross-chain interoperability protocol, recently announced integration testing with Solana's ecosystem; if the mainnet launch goes smoothly, it may trigger valuation recovery.
3. Suggested Sell Currency Risk Warning
**#DEGO, #HMSTR**: NFT and metaverse sectors remain sluggish, with increased selling pressure from project token unlocks, and the technicals have broken below the 30-day EMA support level.
**#DGB, #OG**: On-chain monitoring shows that whale addresses continue to reduce holdings, combined with capital outflow from the GameFi sector, leading to significant short-term downward pressure [^User Historical Analysis].
**#MOVE**: Contract position concentration is excessively high, with a funding rate of -0.03% reflecting short dominance; if Bitcoin corrects, it may trigger a liquidation cascade [^User Historical Analysis].
4. Operational Strategy Recommendations
Position Allocation: Total position control at 40%-50%, prioritizing compliant main lines (#HBARUSD , #BNX), with low market cap currencies not exceeding 15%.
Buying Timing: After Bitcoin breaks $84,000, chase mainstream coins on the right side; if CPI data is below expectations, consider gradually building positions in severely oversold targets like #SUNDOG.
Risk Control Bottom Line: Strictly set stop losses (5%-8% for mainstream coins, 10% for altcoins); if Bitcoin falls below $80,000, a full reduction in positions is required.
5. Today's Key Event Monitoring
20:30 US February CPI Data: If core CPI is below 2.9%, it may trigger a rebound in risk assets; otherwise, it will exacerbate the correction.
Trump Policy Dynamics: Watch whether the White House's small crypto meeting releases details on 'strategic reserves' operations.
Institutional Capital Flow: Monitor Grayscale GBTC premium rate and large buy order changes on the Coinbase platform.
Risk Warning: Market volatility has risen to a yearly high; avoid excessive leverage and pay attention to Bitcoin's $84,000 long/short waterline.