🔥 Polymarket Predicts 41% Chance of US Recession in 2025 Amid Trump’s Bold Moves!

The decentralized betting platform Polymarket has now priced in a 41% probability of a US recession in 2025, as President Donald Trump’s aggressive economic policies stir market uncertainty. 📉


📊 What’s Driving the Recession Fears?

🔹 Massive Tariffs & Spending Cuts – Trump’s policies have raised concerns over economic slowdown.
🔹 Federal Layoffs – Government job cuts could weaken overall consumer spending.
🔹 Negative Growth Indicators – The Atlanta Fed forecasts negative GDP growth for Q1 2025.
🔹 Re-Inverted Yield Curve – A classic warning sign of an upcoming recession.
🔹 Plummeting Consumer Confidence – The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) has fallen, hinting at trouble ahead.


🔥 Market Buzz & Expert Opinions

Economist Peter Schiff believes the US is already in a recession and warns it will only worsen:
👉 “If Trump and investors think a trade war will bring lower inflation and bond yields, they’re in for a huge surprise.”

💰 Polymarket Bets Are Rising!

Traders are piling into this recession event, with $352K in volume as of March 12, up 21% in the last month! 🚀

Do you think a US recession is inevitable in 2025? Drop your thoughts below! 👇