Bitcoin traditionally moves in cycles: accumulation phases 🔄 are followed by distribution phases 📉, when capital flows from one investor to another.
🔍 The assessment of the accumulation trend shows that:
✅ Values around 1 (purple) — investors are actively accumulating BTC 💰🔒
⚠️ Values around 0 (yellow) — distribution (sales) predominates 🏃💸
📉 What is happening now?
Since January 2025, BTC has entered the distribution phase! This coincided with a sharp correction from $108K to $93K 😱📉, and the cumulative trend indicator fell below 0.1 — sellers continue to press the market!
📊 Where are the key levels?
🔥 The heat map of basis cost distribution (CBD) shows that:
💎 In December–February, investors actively bought on dips in the range of $95K–$98K.
💡 This indicates a strong support zone where bulls are ready to buy BTC on dips 🐂💪
📢 What to do next?
🔵 If BTC holds above $95K–$98K — a new rise is possible! 🚀💎
🔴 If the level breaks — a deeper pullback is possible 😬📉
💡 Strategy:
🛒 Buying (DCA) while holding the $95K–$98K zone for long-term investors! 💰
⛔ Stop-losses below $93K for active traders to minimize risks! 🚨
🔥 Conclusion: while the market remains under pressure, major players still believe in growth! Be careful and trade wisely! 💹💪
📉 The BTC market is under pressure: what’s next? 🔥
Since the end of February, the bitcoin market has faced increased external risks 🌍⚠️:
🔺 Tightening liquidity — investors are becoming more cautious 💰🔒
💥 Bybit hack — triggered a wave of concerns in the industry 🛑
🇺🇸 Escalation of tariff tensions in the USA — an additional factor of uncertainty 🌐
📊 BTC broke $92K: what does it mean?
The price fell below $92K, which is critical as this level is below the cost basis of short-term holders 🧐📉.
⛔ The main difference from past pullbacks is the lack of strong buying on the decline!
📉 Previously, investors actively bought BTC in the range of $95K–$98K 💎
😬 The reaction is weak now — buyers are in no rush to enter the market
🔥 What does the heat map of basis cost distribution (CBD) say?
💡 As macroeconomic uncertainty rises 📉, demand for BTC is weakening
📊 Investor confidence is a key factor — and it is currently declining 📉
🔄 The rotation of capital into other assets continues, which may lead to long consolidation or deep correction
🎯 Action strategy
✅ Long-term investors — waiting for confirmation of bottom formation 💎
🚨 Traders should be cautious — the market may enter a *
* prolonged sideways movement or
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