All eyes in the current market are focused on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut dynamics. There are only 8 days left until the next policy meeting, but according to CME data, the market believes there is a 97% probability that the Federal Reserve will not cut rates in March, which means hopes for a rate cut in March are almost extinguished. However, for a rate cut in May, the market assigns a probability of 52.1%, and the probability of a rate cut in June is as high as 86.2%, indicating that the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to implement a rate cut in June.

The current market situation is quite similar to the lull period in 2024. Last year we were looking forward to the results of the U.S. elections, and this year we are all anticipating the arrival of rate cuts.

The current stalemate in the market is quite frustrating; investors looking to buy the dip are worried that prices will continue to fall, while those taking a wait-and-see approach are afraid of missing out on opportunities. For those investors who no longer have excess funds to enter the market, perhaps choosing to "lie flat" is a good option, as they do not have to constantly monitor the market, and maybe in a few months the market will see a rebound. For those investors who still have capital reserves, it might be worthwhile to discuss how to accurately buy the dip.