$USDC Market is not giving us direction for now. There is high liquidities of Shorters upside then longers. Why I think that Scenerio 2 can play because it will lead sell pressure and everyone will start selling in market and then positive news will wipe them out and start of Alt Season.
My view:
According to my analysis and data my hypothesis are that we will get fake news first and it has 70% chances that we will see a fake news first. Don't long or short the first news. I am pretty sure that we will get a surprise news after the first news and the second news will be the main event