Today is already March 2025. Has the cryptocurrency bull market ended?
How can the cryptocurrency world confirm that a great bull market has arrived? And how do we confirm that it is about to end? What are the signals and signs?
History cannot repeat itself, but it is always remarkably similar. Looking back at the bull markets of 2017 and 2021, every bull and bear cycle is accompanied by the halving of Bitcoin.
According to this pattern, 2025 will be a crazy bull market, and 2026 will enter a bear market. But will ETFs change the cycle, causing the bull to come early?
As of now, I haven't seen it yet. Only when Ethereum also breaks through the historical high of 4800 and Bitcoin stabilizes at 70,000 dollars, while meeting these two conditions, can we confirm that the great bull market has begun.
Once the great bull market is confirmed, please remember not to change positions. 1. Why not switch back and forth according to the market conditions? Firstly, most people's operations really cannot keep up, so don’t doubt it; secondly, for newcomers, as long as they choose the right targets, not changing positions is already a great wisdom.
2. Previously, when a certain coin was stagnating, some people started to get anxious, saying they watched everyone else rise, but why isn't it rising?
If a coin is one of the hot leaders in a bull market, then stagnation definitely does not indicate that something is wrong; it must be that the previous rise was too rapid, leading to stagnation or even significant corrections.
3. At this time, you should not be anxious; instead, you should strongly enter the market -- the longer the pullback lasts, the more astonishing the subsequent performance.
Sure enough, a few days after the anxiety, it begins to explode. As long as you choose coins according to the above requirements, if the bull market has not ended, it cannot stagnate.
4. If there is short-term stagnation, then it's a good time to buy, just like a spring compressed by external forces; the tighter it is compressed, the greater the subsequent force. The so-called sector rotation and replenishment follow this logic.
5. Things are good in both directions; you can see it, and others can see it too. Just be patient and wait. When the wind that belongs to it arrives, the previous stagnation will perfectly position it in a value lowland. At that time, incoming funds will be particularly abundant. This is the correct explanation of 'the longer the horizontal, the higher the vertical'. If you only buy and do not sell, any selling during a bull market will ultimately make you regret it. The coins in your hand will definitely become fewer and fewer because the cash you hold will increasingly be unable to buy the original amount.
2. Significant fluctuations seem to have great profit potential, so you can't resist making trades. However, because a bull market can surge at any moment, and at the start of the surge you won't be willing to jump in, always hoping to wait for a dip before entering, you ultimately miss out on the ride altogether, chasing small profits while completely missing the entire bull market.
3. In fact, a bull market is very simple: buy on dips and rest when it rises, control your hands, buy and do not sell. Bull markets usually last for several months, and I don't believe this amplitude is not enough for you to profit. Trade the coins for this cycle and hold the long-term ones well.
So how does a bull market end? From the perspective of external public opinion: 1. News dominates. Someone comes out of prison and becomes a billionaire, simply because he hid 108 bitcoins in his fingernails.
A certain big influencer announces that he is Satoshi Nakamoto and claims that he has lost his private key... Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency world, wealth myths dominate the headlines.
2. Global popularization. Various elderly people, taxi drivers, all start to popularize blockchain with you, talking about Satoshi Nakamoto, discussing L2, and encryption algorithms... Major media outlets begin to discuss the value of Bitcoin and the role of blockchain...
From the perspective of the on-site market
The bull market can roughly be divided into several stages:
1. BTC's dominance is rising, blood-sucking altcoins, and the BTC and Bitcoin ecology will continue to be strong.
2. ETH continues to soar, and hot altcoins rise alongside Ethereum, such as AI, Web3, L2, chain games, metaverse, new public chains, and BTC ecology in these tracks.
3. All coins rise, and the scenario of doubling assets after a night's sleep unfolds. It's the MEME performance season, with various meme coins, altcoins, and scam coins rising to the point that you question your life. Daily surges of dozens of times, various wealth myths, more numerous than small ads, FOMO reaches its peak.
4. A total collapse, major coins retreating sharply, altcoins crashing, and scam coins going to zero, entering this round of bear market.
Lastly, please remember: do not sell coins early in a bull market; if you're stuck, it will be for about half a year. When a great bull market comes, even garbage can soar to the heavens. The main principle of the entire cycle is to ensure there is cash in the bear market and coins in the bull market.
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