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Key Points of Cryptocurrency Investment Analysis and Strategies

Core Asset Allocation Logic:

Bitcoin (BTC), with its ten years of no downtime, technical stability, total scarcity, and global node network, forms an irreplaceable moat and is viewed by the Trump administration as a preferred strategic reserve. Its spot ETF continues to attract capital inflows and has institutional holding advantages, combined with its unique liquidity premium due to reduced correlation with U.S. stocks. Ethereum (ETH), relying on its first-mover advantage in the smart contract ecosystem and gradual regulatory recognition, has become a secondary core choice for mainstream institutional allocation.

Short-term Opportunities and Risks for Secondary Mainstream Coins:

SOL, XRP, and ADA experienced a short-term surge stimulated by Trump's reserve proposal, but policy implementation requires congressional approval and carries political maneuvering risks. On the technical side, SOL faces pressure from competition and iteration among public chains, XRP has not completely resolved legal disputes, and ADA's ecological development faces uncertainties. Historical data shows that such assets often experience fluctuations exceeding 30% after news stimuli, necessitating caution against liquidity crises triggered by leveraged liquidations.

Market Dynamics and Technical Signals:

BTC has formed a strong support range at $78,000, with institutions continuously accumulating through ETFs, creating a bottom support effect. ETH's recent performance is relatively weak, but the development of the Layer 2 ecosystem and staking yield mechanisms still hold long-term value. SOL's short-term support level is $130, and if it falls below this, it may trigger a sell-off; ADA has technical support near $0.6, while XRP needs to break through the $0.55 resistance to open up upward space.

Risk Hedging and Position Management Recommendations:

1. A pyramid averaging strategy is more suitable for high-certainty assets like BTC, utilizing its liquidity advantage to avoid the common foot-stepping risks of altcoins.

2. It is recommended to allocate core positions as 70% BTC + 20% ETH, reserving 10% as flexible funds to capture policy-driven opportunities.

3. Pay attention to discussions on the regulatory framework at the White House summit and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy; prioritize reducing positions in secondary mainstream assets when significant negative news arises.