🚀 Will $BTC shoot up? Arthur Hayes analyzes the situation! 🪙🔥
As you know, the crypto market is still in consolidation – positive vibes from the weekend's news quickly evaporated. What's next? 🤔
Arthur Hayes in his latest post analyzes the current monetary policy of the USA and its impact on cryptocurrencies. Here are the key conclusions:
💰 Trump and debt – If he wins a second term, he wants to fund the "America First" program through cheap credit and new debt. The goal? Avoid a recession at all costs.
⚖️ Trump vs. FED – The new Secretary of the Treasury, Scott Bessent, supports Trump, but Powell (head of the FED) balances between fighting inflation and pressure to lower rates.
🏦 DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) – The new unit is set to cut spending, which may mean layoffs in the public sector and... a recession, forcing the FED to ease policy.
📉 Recession = money printing – Hayes claims that if the economy starts to crumble, the FED will lower rates, end QT, and initiate QE. Potential money printing of up to 3 trillion USD! 😳
🔮 Bitcoin as a liquidity sponge – If the FED fires up the printers, BTC may quickly bounce back and head towards 1 million USD during Trump's presidency.
‼️ It’s worth noting that in his scenario, BTC may still drop to $70,000 before we enter the "banana zone" 📈🍌 – so it’s not worth over-leveraging!
✅ Key takeaway? Bitcoin leads the markets – it drops first, rises first. The market is manipulated, but it’s the HODL-ers and smart accumulators who will reap the biggest rewards in this cycle! 🔥
💬 What do you think about this? Are we facing another wave of money printing and a new ATH? Let us know in the comments! ⬇️
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