1. Current situation:$BTC
Price: ~$83,738 (at the moment).
Daily drop: -8.36% / -8.38% (strong correction).
Minimum for 24 hours: $82,420 (current support).
Trading volume remains high (over 43 billion USDT per day), indicating significant interest and activity from participants.
2. Technical indicators:
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
On the 4-hour chart, MACD is in the negative zone (-683.6), but is beginning to show a reversal (the histogram is shrinking).
On the 15-minute chart, there is a weak bullish signal (MACD = 100.7), but the lines have not yet crossed upwards.
MA (moving averages):
On the 4-hour chart, short-term MAs (5 and 10) remain below the current price, confirming the downward trend.
On the 15-minute chart, the price is gradually approaching MA(10), indicating possible consolidation.
3. Key levels:
Resistance: $84,330–$86,480 (the nearest levels where profit-taking may occur).
Support: $82,420 (if broken, the price may drop to $80,000–$78,200).
4. Conclusion and forecast (for the next 5-7 hours):
Probability of a short-term rebound to the level of $84,300–$85,000 with maintained volumes and buyer support.
In case of weakness of the bulls and a break below $82,420, a drop to $80,000 is possible.
Base scenario: consolidation in the range of $82,800–$84,500.
Bullish scenario: break above $84,500 and move towards $86,000.
Bearish scenario: drop below $82,420 with a target of $80,000.
