The current cryptocurrency market has shown significant bottoming characteristics. According to on-chain data monitoring:
1. The market fear index has dropped to 18, close to historical extreme areas.
2. The net outflow of BTC from exchanges has reached a new high for the year, with significant accumulation of chips.
3. The total liquidation amount across the network has been below 1 billion dollars for three consecutive weeks, fully releasing leverage risks.
According to the "100 Billion Law", the loss rate among market participants in February reached 89.7%, and the median margin available to small and medium investors has dropped to 23% of the beginning of the year. The current market is in a typical stock game stage, and main funds may take advantage of the situation to start a "nurturing and killing" cycle: creating a liquidity vacuum to complete chip collection and waiting for new funds to enter before starting the harvesting cycle. One can follow the allocation strategy adopted by the Godfather in the crypto circle:
1. Market Capitalization Tier Allocation:
Defensive Allocation (50%): BTC + ETH (volatility < 40%)
Growth Allocation (30%): projects with a market value of 1-2 billion dollars (focus on Layer 2, AI sectors)
Opportunistic Allocation (20%): leading companies in emerging sectors with a market value of under 500 million dollars.
Adopt an equal-weight diversification strategy (suggest allocating to 20 targets) with a single project holding not exceeding 5% of total funds. It is recommended to set a dynamic take-profit and stop-loss at 15%, control leverage to within 3 times, and retain 30% cash to cope with extreme fluctuations.