#uncertainty #uncertainties

Alt season is starting soon, some believe

This is the end of the cycle, others believe

I spent 20+ hours to make research for this thread. The results of my research are shocking. Here is why

Before you dive into how BlackRock is manipulating the entire market right now.

Read the full post!

This is exactly what you need to understand the situation.

Trust me, I spent hours researching this... 👇

No altseason, no growth ahead.

Right now, funds are dumping $BTC ETFs by the billions.

Bitcoin has dropped to $85K, and alts are getting wrecked to zero.

The market is entering a bearish phase.

But let’s break it down: 👇

Let’s start with the Fed rate and inflation.

The rate forecast is a disaster - no cuts over 0.75% for the next 2 years.

In the U.S., people won’t take loans or spend money with rates this high.

Not long ago, you could get a mortgage at 2% - now it’s 8%.

The U.S. economy won’t grow, meaning no liquidity flowing into the market.

This also impacts U.S. debt servicing, which is directly tied to interest rates.

Higher rates = higher debt costs, adding even more pressure on the economy.

Inflation is currently at 3%, which is bad news for rate cuts.

For the Fed to lower rates, inflation needs to be below 2%.

I don’t expect inflation or rates to drop before late 2026—and neither do most analysts.

But we’re still waiting for the next inflation forecast.

Now, let’s break down the BTC ETF outflows.

Right now, we’re seeing catastrophic sell-offs.

BlackRock dumped $400M in BTC in just one day.

Total weekly outflows have already hit $3 billion.

The sell pressure is massive.

I’m not worried about BlackRock—I’m worried about other funds.

Right now, most of them are fully dumping their reserves.

To put it into perspective:

- Sell volume has increased 20x compared to when the market was in a growth phase.

This is a full-scale exit.

I have no idea when they’ll start buying back at these levels and volumes.

This means many players have already exited the market.

BlackRock still holds most of its positions.

I have a few theories about why - but we’ll break them down later.

But the situation with $ETH ETFs is different.

There’s nowhere near the same level of selling as BTC.

That’s bullish for ETH - it could be the next major growth catalyst.

We’ll see how it plays out, but for now, it looks that way.

Overall, the market looks bad - for most of you.

But things aren’t as simple as they seem.

BlackRock sells just 1% of its $BTC holdings, and the market is already panicking.

Let’s dig even deeper into this situation. 👇

Let’s take Binance’s CEO as an example - he understands the market better than all of us.

He wrote that market volatility is just another short-term correction- something we’ve seen many times before.

I agree with him, and here’s why:👇

Institutions have never experienced a real crypto crash - something we’re all used to.

Growth never happens without pullbacks, but weak hands don’t get it - so they panic sell.

That’s why smaller funds dump everything at the first sign of turbulence.

They weren’t prepared for this market or its volatility.

They came for easy money.

For many funds, Bitcoin is still just a pyramid scheme - a way to make quick money.

But the market outplayed them. “Wall Street swallowed them up and spat them back out.”

Only those who truly understand crypto are showing strength - like BlackRock.

Selling 1% of BTC holdings is nothing, a drop in the ocean.

That’s important to understand.

The guys in expensive suits panicked, saw the dip, and dumped everything.

Just so their wives wouldn’t nag them about losing money again.

Small funds have zero impact on the market.

They couldn’t even convince their own investors to hold.

That’s their problem, not ours.

It’s obvious that retail is reacting negatively - panic is spreading fast.

But most of the people selling never experienced the "FTX collapse".

Back then, the entire market flipped upside down, and the BTC FUD was insane.

Compared to that, what’s happening now is a joke.

A German bank with $400B in assets just made a bullish move.

They’re now allowing their clients to buy $BTC.

This is just the beginning—momentum works both ways.

Panic spreads fast, but so does adoption.

Money flows in and out - that’s just how markets work.

My verdict:

- Weak hands sell at the first shakeout.
- BlackRock might just be eliminating excess decentralized BTC from weaker funds.
- Bitcoin’s core growth drivers are only getting stronger.

I think I’ve explained the market situation in full detail.

Follow me @Tracer , so you don’t want to miss out on the insights that can make you money.

I’m sure you don’t, Stop wasting time and follow the best!

Thank you!

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