Is the bull market in the crypto world still on?

If we look at the bull-bear phases, we are currently in the mid to late stage of the fourth bull market in the crypto world.

A cycle lasts 4 years, with 3 years of bear market and 1 year of bull market. In the first 8 months of the bull market, there is generally a slow decline.

The last 2 months see a sharp surge, and the final 2 months are spent building a peak.

Strictly speaking, the bull market started in October 2023. So right now, it is a pause in the bull market.

The bull market should last for about 5 more months. The real explosion period has not yet come.

The explosive period should be around March to May. It will end around July 2025.

Of course, this is not a fact; it is just my perspective based on historical trends. It should not be taken as a certainty.

I do not know if it is correct. But the patterns of past cycles have been like this.

The crypto world will not keep rising, nor will it keep falling; this market develops very quickly.

It must surge rapidly to eventually catch up with the market value of gold. Therefore, it follows a 4-year cycle, and the actual explosion occurs within 3-4 months. In other words, you wait 4 years just to wait for those 3-4 months; if you miss those 3-4 months, your profits will vanish, and you may even incur losses.

The crypto world also needs a sharp decline in momentum to eliminate scams, junk projects, and speculators. The most important aspect of the crypto world is efficiency; it was born from the need to change financial efficiency, so it must eliminate junk projects.

When the bear market starts, aside from BTC and ETH, you should not hold onto anything else. The only two assets that can truly cross cycles are BTC and ETH. Everything else might just be a runner-up.

Be patient and wait for the arrival of the explosive bull market. Right now, it is best to do nothing.

If you have already allocated, have confidence in your positions; minor adjustments are fine, but try not to move large positions.