1. Market Status: Bitcoin has fallen below $80,000, market sentiment is extremely low, and speculators' bets on a rebound have been thwarted, with funds flowing into safe-haven assets.
2. Key Points: April 1st Trump's tariff decision becomes a market barometer, bad bee suffers a hacker attack that increases investor unease, the $82,000 support level is crucial, the volume-weighted average price for 2024 is in the $82,000 - $83,000 range, if it closes below this range, the price may drop to $77,000 - $72,000.
3. Indicator Analysis: The MVRV indicator is currently at 1.94, with Bitcoin's price below $85,000; as it approaches the cycle peak, MVRV tends to spike sharply. On January 20th, when Bitcoin reached a new high of $109,000, this indicator hit 2.44. Analysts predict this round's MVRV peak is about 3.2, and Bitcoin may still retrace before restarting its upward trend.
4. Miner Status: The 30-day moving average of hash loans has remained above the 60-day moving average since February, miner income is nearing the breakeven point, 7 out of 16 popular mining machines are close to or exceed the shutdown price, some mining machines are experiencing total losses, and electricity costs exceed 110%. Bitcoin price struggles to gain new upward momentum; without macroeconomic positives, the market may continue to face pressure. #芝商所将推出SOL期货 #美SEC:Meme币非证券