If we look at the bull and bear phases, we are now in the middle to later stages of the fourth bull market in the cryptocurrency space.
One cycle lasts 4 years, with 3 years of bear market and 1 year of bull market. During the first 8 months of the bull market, there is generally a slow decline for consolidation.
The last 2 months see a rapid surge, and the final 2 months are for topping out.
Strictly speaking, the bull market started in October 2023. So now it is in the middle of the bull market.
There are approximately 5 months left in the bull market. The real explosive period has not yet arrived.
The explosive period should come around March to May. It is expected to end around July 2025.
Of course, this is not a fact; it is just my opinion based on historical trends. It cannot be taken as certain.
I don't know if I am right. But this is the pattern we see in past cycles.
The cryptocurrency market will not always rise, nor will it always fall; this market develops very quickly.
It must rise rapidly to eventually catch up with the market capitalization of gold. Therefore, it follows a 4-year cycle, and the real explosive growth occurs within 3 to 4 months, meaning you wait 4 years just for those 3 to 4 months. If you miss those 3 to 4 months, your profits could vanish and you might even incur losses.
The cryptocurrency market also needs sharp declines to weed out scams, junk projects, and speculative investors. The cryptocurrency market emphasizes efficiency; it was born out of the need to improve financial efficiency, so it must eliminate poor projects. When the bear market starts, aside from BTC and ETH, you should not hold on to anything else. The only two assets that likely can withstand the cycle are BTC and ETH. Others are likely just runners-up.
Be patient and wait for the arrival of a furious bull market. Right now, the best thing to do is nothing at all.
If you have already allocated your assets, have confidence in your positions; minor adjustments are okay, but try not to change your major holdings.