🚨 Bitcoin’s 16% Drop: Still Modest Compared to Cycle Averages! 🚨
Bitcoin has experienced a 16% correction from its all-time high (ATH), marking a major pullback in its current cycle. However, historical data reveals this drop remains within normal limits when compared to previous market cycles.
🔹 Key Insights from the Correction:
✅ The drop exceeded the cycle’s average drawdown (-8.54%) but remains far from the maximum drawdown (-26.25%).
✅ Yesterday’s price crash below $86K sent shockwaves through altcoin markets—DOGE, SOL, and SHIB hit new yearly lows.
✅ Bitcoin's volatility in this cycle is lower than in previous cycles, signaling a more mature market.
📊 Bitcoin Volatility: How This Cycle Compares
Bitcoin’s past cycles have seen far greater drawdowns:
🔸 2011-2013: -19.19% average, max drop -49.45%
🔸 2015-2017: -11.49% average, max drop -36.01%
🔸 2018-2021: -20.41% average, max drop -62.62%
⚡ Current cycle: The least volatile so far, indicating increasing market stability.
💹 Bitcoin’s Growth: 826 Days Since the Cycle Low
Bitcoin has grown 5.48x since its $15,400 low in January 2023. But how does this compare to past cycles?
🔹 2011-2015: 284.28x increase 🚀
🔹 2015-2018: 7.26x growth 📈
🔹 2018-2022: 16.86x surge 💥
Although this cycle’s performance appears modest compared to previous bull runs, Bitcoin’s lower volatility and steady growth reflect its increasing institutional adoption.
📉 BTC’s Outlook Amid Bearish Momentum
🔻 Bitcoin briefly recovered to $89K today but has since dropped back to $85,500.
🔻 On-chain data suggests $92,500 is the key level for a bullish recovery.
⚠️ If BTC fails to reclaim this level, a potential revisit to $71K remains on the table.
👉 What’s next for Bitcoin? Will we see a sharp bounce back or further downside? Share your thoughts! 👇
📌 Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
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