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For everyone's reference, here is a high-risk, high-return plan based on the characteristics of the cryptocurrency market. It needs to be combined with market cycles, technical analysis, and strict risk control execution. Please be aware: **This plan carries a risk of losing everything and serves only as theoretical deduction, not investment advice**.
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### **Phase One: Q3-Q4 2024 (Initial Bull Market Layout)**
#### Target: 100,000 → 500,000 (5 times)
1. **Underlying Allocation (40%)**
- Allocate 40% of funds to Bitcoin (BTC) + Ethereum (ETH):
- Utilize market pullbacks (e.g., BTC falls to the $50,000-$60,000 range) to build positions in batches as a risk-resistant base.
- Target increase: BTC 100%-150% (halving effect + ETF capital inflow).
2. **High β Track (50%)**
- **AI + Depin Track**: Allocate 30% of funds to Fetch.ai (FET), Render (RNDR), Arkham (ARKM), aiming for 3-5 times.
- **New Public Chain**: Allocate 20% of funds to Solana (SOL), Sei, Sui, and other ecosystem tokens, targeting 3-8 times.
- **Meme Coins**: Reserve 10% of funds to capture new trends (like $WIF, $BOME for subsequent iterations), entering and exiting quickly.
3. **Airdrops and Early Interactions (10%)**
- Interact with potential airdrop projects like Zksync, Starknet, LayerZero, distributing to 5-10 wallets, aiming to capture single airdrop returns of 5-10 times.
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### **Phase Two: Q1-Q2 2025 (Main Bull Market Surge)**
#### Target: 500,000 → 3 million (6 times)
1. **Leverage Strategy (Use with Caution)**
- Use 20% of positions with 3-5 times leverage to long strong coins (e.g., when ETH/BTC exchange rate breaks key levels), set stop-loss at 10%.
- Only use after confirming large-scale trends to avoid frequent operations.
2. **Sector Rotation Sniping**
- **RWA Track**: Allocate 20% of funds to Ondo (ONDO), Mantra (OM), etc., targeting 5-10 times.
- **GameFi 2.0**: Allocate 15% of funds to low-market-cap projects like Pixel, GALA, targeting 8-15 times.
- **Bitcoin Ecosystem**: Allocate 15% of funds to STX, ORDI, etc., combined with ETF through speculative trading.
3. **Exit Strategy**
- Take partial profits (20%) at every 50% increase, retaining the base position for higher returns.
- Pay attention to BTC weekly RSI > 90 or significant drops in stablecoin inflows to exchanges as topping signals.
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### **Phase Three: Q3-Q4 2025 (End of Bull Market/Transition to Bear Market)**
#### Target: 3 million → 10 million+ (3 times+)
1. **Hedging and Arbitrage**
- Use 20% of funds for arbitrage (e.g., shorting perpetual contracts + holding spot when funding rates > 0.1%).
- Purchase Put options to hedge against black swan risks.
2. **Doomsday Vehicle Strategy**
- Allocate 10% of funds to high-volatility small coins (like PEOPLE, TRUMP political memes), entering and exiting quickly.
- Use on-chain sniper tools (like BonkBot) to capture short-term surges in meme coins.
3. **Exit and Liquidation**
- When BTC falls below the 120-day moving average or there are large withdrawals from exchanges, clear 80% of positions within 48 hours.
- Retain 20% of funds for regular investments in BTC/ETH, waiting for the next cycle.
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### **Core Risk Control Principles**
1. **Position Management**
- Single coin holdings ≤ 15%, single track ≤ 30%.
- Leverage positions must have a daily settlement price at least 20% away from the current price.
2. **Information Source Priority**
- On-chain data (Glassnode/Nansen) > Technical patterns > KOL opinions.
- Avoid any trading groups that provide signals to prevent becoming a target.
3. **Psychological Construction**
- Reject FOMO, preset stop-loss points, and do not manually intervene.
- Weekly reviews, delete ineffective strategies (like frequent trading, chasing spikes).
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### **Feasibility Supplement**
- Historical data: During the bull market cycle of 2020-2021, the average increase of top altcoins was 87 times (CoinGecko).
- Needs to be combined with:
- Macroeconomic factors (U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut cycle)
- Regulatory events (e.g., U.S. SEC's attitude towards ETH)
- Technical breakthroughs (e.g., ETH spot ETF approval)
**Final Recommendation:** You can split a principal of 100,000 into 2-3 independent accounts, each executing different strategies (e.g., pure spot/low leverage/airdrop-specific accounts) to maximize risk resistance.