#XRP ’S REGULATORY TIDE TURNS: SHORT-SELLERS BEWARE
As of February 20, 2025, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has accelerated its review of spot XRP ETF filings from Grayscale, WisdomTree, Bitwise, and Canary Capital, with 19b-4 applications now under a 240-day evaluation period ending late 2025.
This follows a historic shift in regulatory posture, evidenced by the SEC’s acknowledgment of these filings in mid-February—a stark contrast to its prior hostility toward XRP. Polymarket odds of approval stand at 81%, reflecting robust market confidence rooted in precedent: Bitcoin’s spot ETF approvals in 2024 drove a 150% rally within months. Analysts forecast XRP could breach $4 by Q3 2025 if greenlit, propelled by institutional inflows and Ripple’s proven utility in cross-border payments. Shorting XRP now risks confronting a confluence of legal clarity, ETF momentum, and global adoption—data suggests the prudent move is to stand aside.