Daily Analysis (02.19) "I forgot to post what I wrote yesterday" Summary: 1. Let's talk about US stocks 2. Let's talk about gold (with operation suggestions) 3. Big investors are not fools, what you see is what they want you to see. 4. The real reason for the decline of SOL is the withdrawal of Wall Street 5. On the basis of the top back of the weekly and monthly lines, the bottom back at the hourly level cannot constitute a signal of trend reversal.
Operation: 1. $BTC short position is held, and 59000 is taken profit. (You can also take profit at the weekly EMA60 first, about 71000).
2. $SOL long-term short position has been taken profit, and wait for the big cake to fall to the next box before looking for new short opportunities. Here is an additional mention, SOL's reaction speed is faster than the big cake. The position of 161 is the weekly EMA60. This line and the daily MA250 are both important "bull-bear dividing lines". Since SOL crossed the weekly EMA60 in October 23, it has never fallen again. So if someone thinks that the bull market is not over, then first of all, SOL cannot fall below 161 at the weekly level. In fact, if the big cake falls to the beginning of 8, then SOL will inevitably fall below 161, so this is a paradox.
3. If you haven't made a short order at $ETH , you can place a long-term short order in advance near 3000.
In the short term: 1. It was said that there will be a 2-3 week safety period after the weekly MACD crossover. Now it has been a week and a half, which means that the big one will come soon. So no more operation suggestions are given in the short term, and wait patiently for the trend to come out. If you must say, in the short term, before the big cake falls, it should at least go to 99000 to blow up the aggressive shorts before going down. Correspondingly, Ethereum should go to 2930, and SOL should go to 184. If you don't have a position, you can place the first position of long-term short orders at these positions. Steadily, or if you already have a long-term short position, then try to wait for a higher position (101000 for Bitcoin, 3000 for Ethereum, 193 for SOL) to place an order.
2. Considering the impact of the Prague upgrade, the risk of long-term short orders for Ethereum is actually relatively large. Try to wait until the benefits of the Prague upgrade are implemented before considering the layout of trend orders. In the short term, it is more reasonable to go short with 2800 as the pressure. Go short when it hits, and defend with 50 points to see 100 points of profit.
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