很帅很准
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The unregulated, fully anonymous, and periodically deflationary characteristics of Bitcoin lead to increasingly larger, more outrageous, and more irrational volatility.
The following three points may lead to a market black swan:
1. The escalation of Trump's tariff policy triggers liquidity contraction.
2. The Federal Reserve delays balance sheet expansion until Q4 (20% probability).
3. The SEC conducts a surprise crackdown on the RWA sector (focusing on tokens like OM).
On February 1, 2025, the emergence of DeepSeek and its open-source nature triggered a bubble in NVIDIA, causing the US stock market to evaporate approximately $2 trillion in total market value.
Structural collapse could happen at any time, and to mitigate structural financial risks, the Federal Reserve will again unleash liquidity. Trump continues to adhere to the strategy of 'small courtyard and high walls,' and will ultimately choose inflation again in the impossible triangle of 'inflation-exchange rate-interest rate.'
Then Bitcoin will have a reasonable narrative to surge to new highs.
However, before that, it is highly likely to take a significant tumble. $BTC $ETH #CardanoETF讨论 #人工智能与稳定币
The following three points may lead to a market black swan:
1. The escalation of Trump's tariff policy triggers liquidity contraction.
2. The Federal Reserve delays balance sheet expansion until Q4 (20% probability).
3. The SEC conducts a surprise crackdown on the RWA sector (focusing on tokens like OM).
On February 1, 2025, the emergence of DeepSeek and its open-source nature triggered a bubble in NVIDIA, causing the US stock market to evaporate approximately $2 trillion in total market value.
Structural collapse could happen at any time, and to mitigate structural financial risks, the Federal Reserve will again unleash liquidity. Trump continues to adhere to the strategy of 'small courtyard and high walls,' and will ultimately choose inflation again in the impossible triangle of 'inflation-exchange rate-interest rate.'
Then Bitcoin will have a reasonable narrative to surge to new highs.
However, before that, it is highly likely to take a significant tumble. $BTC $ETH #CardanoETF讨论 #人工智能与稳定币
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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