Bitcoin ($BTC ), the "digital gold", continues to defy expectations, but when could its market capitalization reach gold's $18 trillion? Let's analyze it with fresh data.

Today, February 14, 2025, Bitcoin's market capitalization is approximately $1.9 trillion, with a price per BTC of $98,000 (according to recent data from CoinMarketCap). Gold, with an estimated capitalization of $18 trillion, remains a giant. To match it, Bitcoin would need a price of approximately $904,000 per coin, assuming a circulating supply of 19.82 million BTC.

Favorable Factors: Institutional adoption continues to grow, with Bitcoin ETFs accumulating billions and companies like MicroStrategy increasing their reserves. Its fixed scarcity (maximum 21 million BTC) makes it a store of value in a digital world. Posts on X suggest that if Bitcoin captures 25% of gold's market capitalization ($4.5 trillion), it could reach $230,000 per BTC in the coming years.

Obstacles: The volatility of Bitcoin, stricter regulations, and historical trust in gold as a safe asset could delay this goal. Some analysts, like Tom Lee from Fundstrat, predict that Bitcoin could surpass gold by 2030, but others, according to posts on X, believe it may take until 2035.

With an average annual growth of 80%, Bitcoin could approach $904,000 in 10 years, but the path is uncertain. If you are looking for an asset with disruptive potential, Bitcoin is an intriguing option, although the ascent towards gold's value is fraught with risks and promises.

By: Alejandro Barreto

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