Current price: $196.45 (24h decline -0.17%), the fluctuation range has narrowed (24h high $198.47, low $188.78).

Trading volume: 24h trading amount of 454 million USDT (increased from the previous period), but the current volume (215,189) is significantly below the 5-day moving average (MA5=385,783), indicating insufficient trading volume momentum.

Technical Indicators:

MACD turns negative (DIF=-1.64, DEA=-1.63, histogram=-0.02), with short-term downward momentum prevailing.

The AVL line has shifted down to $195.54, indicating that the support level has moved down, and caution should be exercised regarding the risk of breaking.

**Today's Trend Analysis**

1. **Short-term Trend**:

- The price has broken below the previous period's key support **$197.17**, currently fluctuating around **$195-198**. If it cannot stabilize above **$198.47** (24h high), it may further test **$188.78** (24h low).

- **AVL line** ($195.54) is the key support for the day. If it is lost, it may accelerate the drop to the **$185-176** range (refer to AVL secondary support).

2. **Volume-Price Divergence Signals**:

- Although the current volume is relatively high in absolute terms, it is significantly below MA5 and MA10, indicating weakened buying power, with **expectations of reduced trading volume increasing**.

- If trading volume continues to shrink, the rebound momentum of the price will be limited, possibly entering a weak consolidation or gradual decline phase.

**Potential Impact of Reduced Trading Volume**

- **Short-term Risks**:

- If the volume continues to be below the moving average, it may lead to the price being repeatedly blocked in the **$195-200** range, making it difficult to break through the upper resistance.

- The expansion of the negative MACD histogram may trigger selling pressure, and attention should be paid to the effectiveness of the **$188.78** support; if it breaks, downward space will open up.

- **Medium-term Observation Points**:

- If trading volume rises above MA5 (385K+), combined with MACD bullish divergence signal, then the trend reversal can be confirmed.

**Operation Suggestion**

- **Short-term**:

- If the price rebounds and is blocked near **$198.5**, a light short position can be taken, with a stop loss set at **$200**.

- If it breaks below **$195.5** (AVL support), the short target is **$190-185**.

- **Medium to Long-term**:

- Wait for a significant increase in trading volume or a MACD golden cross signal, then consider placing long orders. #加密市场反弹 #CPI数据来袭 $SOL

- **Risk Warning**:

- Pay attention to the movements of the Bitcoin market and SOL ecosystem news (such as outages, project updates), and be cautious of sudden events that may exacerbate volatility.

**Summary**: Today's SOL/USDT trend is bearish, and the expectation of reduced trading volume has increased, requiring caution against further pullback risks. If the key support level **$195.5** is lost, the short-term target looks down to **$185**.