In the crypto space, you need to find a way to first earn 1 million in capital, and the only way to earn 1 million from several tens of thousands is through rolling positions.
Once you have 1 million in capital, you will find that your life seems to be different. Even if you do not use leverage, making a 20% profit on the spot will yield 200,000, which is already the income ceiling for most people in a year.
Moreover, when you can grow from several tens of thousands to 1 million, you will grasp some ideas and logic for making big money. At this point, your mindset will also calm down significantly, and the rest is just replication.
Don't casually throw around figures like millions or billions; start from your actual situation. Bragging only makes you feel comfortable. Trading requires the ability to identify the size of opportunities; you cannot always be lightly leveraged or heavily leveraged. Normally, play around with small amounts, and when a big opportunity comes, then you can pull out the big guns.
For example, rolling positions can only be operated when a big opportunity arises. You can't always roll; missing out is fine because you only need to roll successfully three or four times in your life to go from 0 to tens of millions. Tens of millions is enough for an ordinary person to upgrade to the ranks of the wealthy.
Points to note when rolling positions:
1. Sufficient patience; the profits from rolling positions are immense. As long as you can roll successfully a few times, you can earn at least tens of millions or even billions. So you cannot roll easily; you need to find high-certainty opportunities.
2. High certainty opportunities refer to a sideways consolidation after a sharp drop, followed by a breakout upwards; at this time, the probability of following the trend is high. Identify the point of trend reversal and get on board right from the start.
3. Only roll long;
Rolling position risks.
Let's talk about the rolling strategy; many people think it's risky, but I can tell you, the risk is very low, far lower than the logic of trading futures.
If you only have 50,000, how to start with 50,000? First, this 50,000 should be your profit; if you are still at a loss, then don’t look.
If you open a position in Bitcoin at 10,000 with a leverage of 10 times, using a margin mode with only 10% of the position, that is equivalent to 1x leverage with a 2% stop loss. If you hit your stop loss, you only lose 2%, just 2%? That's 1,000. How do those who get liquidated get liquidated? Even if you get liquidated, it’s just a loss of 5,000, right? How could you lose everything?
For example, if Bitcoin rises to 11,000, you continue to open positions with 10% of your total capital, similarly set a 2% stop loss. If you hit the stop loss, you still earn 8%. Where's the risk? Didn't we say the risk is high? By this reasoning,
If Bitcoin rises to 15,000 and you successfully add positions, during this 50% market movement, you should earn around 200,000. Catching two such market movements would yield about 1 million.
There is fundamentally no compound interest, 100 times is achieved through two times ten times, three times five times, four times three times, not through daily or monthly compound interest of 10% or 20%, that’s nonsense.
This content not only has operational logic but also contains the core internal methods of trading, position management; as long as you understand position management, you will never lose everything.
2025 Crypto Bull Market Script Simulation
The foundation of a bull market:
External environmental factors:
The Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes have ended; the U.S. is launching a new round of quantitative easing, and crypto assets have become one of the important reservoirs.
Industry internal factors:
The crypto market in 2022-2023 has sufficiently washed out, clearing risks and eliminating obstacles.
The Ethereum ecosystem is thriving, with ETH and a deflationary mechanism showing a positive fundamental outlook.
Market makers can use various negative news to smash prices and collect chips, while institutions follow suit to enter the market. After the main players complete their layouts, the bull market progresses.
The official signal for the bull market to start: April 2024, with BTC halving. The four-year cycle is the strongest consensus in the crypto market. The main players attract external traffic through various narratives and wealth effects, bringing in large numbers of users and funds, thus driving the market up. It is likely that Bitcoin and Ethereum will lead the rise, followed by altcoins catching up. During this period, there may be a significant pullback for liquidation. The public chain ecosystem thrives, high-quality applications land, and the number of crypto users continues to increase, leading the industry to unprecedented growth.
Key narrative:
Web3+: The most promising sector for the next bull market, and a key area for attracting external funds.
L2: With the thriving development of the Ethereum ecosystem, L2 will be one of the most focused sectors in the new bull market, having significant appreciation potential in the long run.
Metaverse: The last bull market was only focused on conceptual speculation, the new bull market will have more practical applications. DeFi: Disrupting the traditional financial industry, it is an important part of the decentralized revolution and still has a lot of room for development. GameFi+: The last bull market brought a wave of enthusiasm to the industry, although the results were not ideal, it was still a pioneering attempt.
NFT++: The future of NFTs has vast imaginative space and will not be limited to the speculation of small images.
Others: A1, social, Ethereum ecosystem+, decentralized concepts, etc.
Follow market trends and pay attention to leading investment institutions, such as Binance and A16Z's investment directions.
Why do we say trading coins, those who can buy are apprentices?
Those who can sell are masters, and those who can hold cash are the ancestors.
Based on my more than ten years of experience in the crypto space.
Some methods for identifying buy and sell points that I have summarized are organized as follows.
Those who can buy are apprentices.
The best operational strategies in the crypto space are
a. Regardless of the bull market, 5 layers of positions should be BTC and ETH, and the remaining 5 layers should bet on big opportunities.
b. When the bull market retraces, many altcoins are discounted to 10% or even 0.1%, at this time it’s cheap to buy some promising altcoins with broad consensus and then wait for the bull market to arrive.
C. During a bull market, various hotspots emerge. For example, during this bull market, sectors like artificial intelligence, GameFi+, RWA, public chains, and platform tokens can be participated in with a small amount of capital for hotspot speculation. After earning more than five times, take profits in time and convert everything to BTC and ETH, clearly distinguishing what is 'living' and what is 'playing around.'
The essence of finance is Ponzi, and when the tide goes out, you will know who is swimming naked. Leaving promptly before various new project bubbles burst is a very smart move.
Those who can sell are masters.
When trading coins turns you into a shareholder, never think you can sell at the highest point; the highest point is only known in hindsight. Two relatively reliable selling methods: target profit-taking method and technical indicator method.
Target profit-taking method:
Be content and happy; money can never be earned endlessly. Nothing can rise endlessly; having ups and downs is the essence of the trading market. Everything has a cycle. Set your profit target or expected price in advance, for example, if you need 1 million to buy a house this year, then place an order at a price that can earn you 1 million. Place your order in advance and have it executed automatically once the target is reached. Alternatively, use the ATH price as a reference point, as breaking previous highs is often difficult, and there is usually a significant drop when breaking previous highs. Therefore, place your sell order at about 4% below the peak.
Technical profit-taking method:
Set MACD to (12, 26, 9); choose the 5-day moving average and the 7-day moving average for the candlestick chart. When the 5-day moving average crosses below the 7-day moving average forming a death cross, and MACD's DIF line crosses below DEA forming a dead cross, it all indicates that a significant drop is about to begin.
Taking ETH as an example, the significant drops on December 4, 2021, September 7, and May 13 can all be seen to validate this theory.
Only those who can hold cash are the ancestors.
In a bull market, firmly hold your coins; in a bear market, firmly hold cash. The highest realm of trading is holding cash, as holding cash allows you to wait for substantial drops and enter the market when there’s blood in the streets to achieve maximum profit. Holding cash is still very difficult because you not only have to endure long periods of drought but also suffer from FOMO as others continuously make money. Based on ETH’s volatility, a 20% drop presents a good opportunity to catch 4-5 times a year.
The bull market is about to arrive. Personally, I will continue to lay low on potential value coins while also looking for high-multiple altcoins that can yield 10-20 times. I will share this with fans for free!