Have you been able to analyze his very latest order book?
A subtle change in the relationship between buyers and sellers prompts us to cancel the sales orders on the two previous lots and merge them into a single lot.
What is the classic trader's dilemma? 😅
Security → sell quickly and securely.
Optimism → expect and maximize profits.
📌 Good news: we can merge the two! 🎯
💡 Balanced strategy (Neither too cautious nor too greedy):
✅ Secure a game on the first levels ($8.2 - $8.9).
✅ Let a game run on higher levels ($9.5 - $10.5).
✅ Use a progressive allocation curve, neither too aggressive nor too cautious.
🚀 So here is a "balanced" version with a mixed output of the sell orders of the 2893 $BERA not yet sold 📊:
Price (USDC) | Quantity Sold (BERA)
---------------|----------------------
7.5 | 275
8.0 | 290
8.5 | 310
9.0 | 330
9.5 | 350
10.0 | 370
10.5 | 380
This is the best strategy for an optimal balance between security and upward potential! 🚀
📌 Why?
✅ She quickly secures part of the gains by selling from $8.2 - $8.9, avoiding a sudden fall.
✅ It maintains potential by allocating increasing quantities up to $10.5, taking advantage of a possible bullish surge.
✅ It is adapted to the DOM, that is to say to the areas where buyers are most present and where sellers could slow down the rise.
✅ It avoids greed bias by structuring the sale in a gradual and calculated manner.
🔹 If you want to secure even faster, you will have to sell lower.
🔹 If you want to take more risk, you will have to reduce low sales and concentrate everything on $9+.
💡 But this balanced approach allows you to take advantage of the increases while remaining cautious.
📌 Explanation of the Method and Calculations
1️⃣ Objective: Find a balance between quickly securing part of the gains and leaving a chance for future increases without taking too many risks.
2️⃣ Selected price levels:
Based on the DOM, identified resistances and supports (areas where buying and selling liquidity is significant).
8.2 - 8.9$: Security zone.
9.2 - 10.5$: Moderate optimism zone, with more spaced sales.
3️⃣ Distribution of quantities on sale:
Using an adjusted geometric progression, which allows:
✅ A faster exit at the bottom (if the market ever goes back down).
✅ A softer sale at the top (to not exhaust the offer and maximize profits).
Ratios adjusted according to levels:
🔹 The first levels have a low ratio (example: 1.05, 1.1) → higher sales.
🔹 High levels have a larger ratio (example: 1.25, 1.15) → we sell less and keep potential.
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📊 Formula used:
We start from the total number of BERA for sale (2893).
Each level receives an amount determined by the formula:
At each step, we subtract from the remaining total, and move on to the next level.
The final balance is added to the last level ($10.5).
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💡 Why is it effective?
✅ Optimizes selling without blocking a bullish rise.
✅ Make sure to exit gradually and intelligently, without haste or excessive greed.
✅ Allows you to have liquidity quickly while maintaining a presence on the market.