The most dramatic and divisive US non-farm payrolls data in history is coming. The US non-farm payrolls data for January will be released tonight.

Everyone believes that due to the wildfires in Los Angeles, employment for the entire January will drop directly from 256,000 new jobs last month to 175,000, a three-month low, which is almost consistent with the views of economists.

Then there is a more important thing today, that is, this time, the revised data of the US non-farm data for the past 12 months will be released, which is important.

Everyone remembers that in August 2024, it was because the US Bureau of Labor Statistics revised down the data for the past 12 months ending in March 24 by as much as 810,000, which directly shocked the market!

Everyone believes that the US job market was originally a bubble that burst with a poke, which made the Federal Reserve panic and directly cut interest rates by 50 basis points at the September interest rate meeting.

And this time, mainstream economists now believe that it will be reduced by 600,000 to 700,000. Bloomberg believes that it will be reduced by 900,000. However, there is one person who came out to sing a different tune, and that is our famous global investment bank Goldman Sachs.

He said that this time the number will be raised by 2.3 million. Goldman Sachs gave a series of reasons, such as good employment for African Americans and good employment for immigrants. I don’t want to read these reasons. You just ask how you calculated this 2.3 million, and whether the market believes it or not.

Tonight, I think if you follow Goldman Sachs, the market will die for you. If you follow the economists, the January employment data of 150,000 plus the downward adjustment of 700,000 data will warm up the market, and the Federal Reserve may even cut interest rates in advance in March. #非农就业数据来袭 #你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过？ #以太坊现货ETF连续净流入 #比特币盘整将持续多久？ #比特币国家战略储备 $BTC $ETH