I have always thought that a phenomenal product would explode, create a wealth myth in the cryptocurrency circle, and quickly break the circle. I thought it was BTC that exploded, and I thought it was DOGE that reached $1, but I didn’t expect it to be $Trump. After Musk called for orders and Wall Street giants stepped in to pull the market, the interests of the Trump family were also tied to the entire crypto market.
Characteristics of this bull market:
1. After the ETF is passed, the BTC halving cycle becomes weaker, and the volatility of BTC by on-site funds drops significantly.
2. American capital is preferred. ETF/BlackRock/Grayscale holdings/Trump family.
3. New and old forces: After the small spring in March last year, the copycat of CEX kept approaching the bottom of the weekly line and never recovered. However, meme and AI hot spots on CEX kept rising and falling, and the on-chain Dex was in a bull market. Dex continued to challenge CEX and siphon liquidity.
My thoughts:
1. One day in the cryptocurrency world is like one year, or even ten years in the real world. The cryptocurrency world is always innovating, so we must keep learning.
2. Don’t let your butt determine your head. Try to overcome the inertia of thinking and your own thinking and judgment of the market based on your own positions.
My features:
1. No effort: Not good at capturing on-chain opportunities
2. Rejection of learning: unfamiliar with the dark jungle operations on the chain and fear of losses
3. Reject high risks: Personal investment prefers low risk and would rather not make a profit than lose money.
Strategy Optimization:
1. “Should we make money beyond our cognition?”
Spend 0.5-5 sols to try it out, to practice and feel the market rhythm.
2. “What is the underlying logic?”
Think clearly about its underlying logic and find a strategy that better suits my style
* Focus on the U.S. capital sector and continuously optimize your asset allocation as the market changes.
* Risk management: Go from “not touching” opportunities that do not belong to you to learning how to use positions [within 1/100] and implement stop-profit and stop-loss.
* Establish an "opportunity recording system": review every big market opportunity, not to make big money, but to gain experience. Train yourself to operate in unfamiliar markets, strengthen your thinking on how to operate when you make money, and make your operating system more mature.
* I didn’t catch the meme on the SOL chain, but I have sol. After $sol reached a new high last night, I sold some short-term positions and executed the Q1 position reduction plan, integrating knowledge and action. I will patiently wait for the opportunity to pull back before getting on board. I am optimistic about sol in this cycle.
* Does ETH still have a chance? Seeing Vitalik changed his meme avatar, are you willing to give him a chance to increase your position? I am still thinking about it.
What opportunities do ordinary people have? Welcome to exchange ideas and make progress together.
