Let me tell you what I think about the recent market. I am also a small retail investor, but I used to make money through this circle. The most basic rule of the currency circle is the four-year bull-bear cycle. BTC is bought in the bear market and sold in the bull market. This year's market is different. You can clearly feel that BTC is different now. It is more than 2 trillion. It is very difficult to double it in the future. Because people who understand it know that the GDP of some countries is only 2 trillion a year. If you don't have the funds to enter the market, the cottage lacks liquidity and is forced to go bearish. Now it is in the bull market cycle of BTC. According to historical rules, BTC still has seven or eight months of bull market to go, and all the cottage coins led by ETH have lower highs than one another and have begun to go bearish. . The contradiction now is that the currency circle is extremely lacking in liquidity. If there are a few newcomers entering the market, you can see a strong coin explode. This is also something that only exists in a bull market. But those junk coins have slowly begun to return to 0. There are only three ways to reverse the trend or even usher in the altcoin season: 1. The United States cooperates with various countries to directly smash the market, smashing the BTC price to more than 70,000, bloodbathing a wave of bulls, and letting the altcoins really see the bottom. Now, every time BTC falls below 90,000, there is a knife hanging over the heads of altcoins. Fear and panic are the concerns of all retail investors. The altcoins rose for one month in November and fell for two months. If the ETH-level altcoins do not improve in the next two months, it is certain to go bearish. If there is an improvement, it means that there will be a consolidation period in these two months. This is the lower plan. 2. The United States and various national institutions directly abandon ETH, making the once glorious second place directly become the torrent of history. All altcoins plummet and see the bottom, or let the United States increase the promotion of turmp coins to attract huge off-site funds to enter the market, so that the altcoins can have a day to come out. This is the middle plan. 3. Relax policies, cut interest rates, stop tariffs, and build momentum for BTC national reserves, so that China has to join the encryption war and turn the tide. This is the upper plan.