The price of Bitcoin has just seen a recovery after the US temporarily postponed tariffs with Mexico and Canada, but global trade tensions remain an unpredictable factor that could affect the crypto market.

📌 Bitcoin surged thanks to the trade agreement

After the US successfully negotiated with #mexico and Canada to postpone tariffs for 30 days, Bitcoin experienced a strong recovery. The price of BTC rose from a low of $92,900 on Monday to $102,000, before adjusting to around $99,500 on Tuesday.

However, trade tensions have not yet ended as:

  • The US still imposes a 10% tariff on goods imported from China.

  • China retaliated with a 15% tariff on US products, including natural gas and pickup trucks.

📈 Result: Slightly increased inflation expectations, causing the market to remain cautious.

📌 The market remains concerned about Trump's policies

According to Geoff Kendrick – Head of Digital Asset Research at #StandardChartered , the two-year inflation expectations index has risen from 2.95% to 2.98% on Tuesday. This reflects concerns that inflation will rise significantly in the coming years.

👉 The US Federal Reserve (Fed) has also warned that inflation could be harder to control if trade policies change significantly under Trump.

📌 Bitcoin has still not been able to break through

Kendrick states that unless the US bond market signals positively, Bitcoin will still be constrained within a narrow range.

💡 Reason:

  • Investors are monitoring the bond yield curve to assess economic prospects.

  • If long-term yields decline, this may signal concerns about an economic recession overshadowing inflation worries.

📌 Trump still has many plans to exert trade pressure

Despite the agreement with Mexico and #Canada , Trump still threatens to raise tariffs on the European Union (EU) and the UK.

📢 Trump's statement on Sunday:
"It will definitely happen with the European Union. I can tell you that. I'm not specifying a timeframe, but it will happen very soon."

📊 Assessment:

  • If the US continues to impose strong tariffs on the EU and BRICS countries (which are looking to reduce dependence on the USD), financial and crypto markets may face additional significant pressure.

  • Current investors are mentally preparing for Trump's next moves.

📌 Conclusion: Bitcoin has not yet escaped the risk of correction

Although Bitcoin has just had a recovery, with the instability from trade tensions, inflation, and the Fed's policies, the price of BTC may continue to fluctuate sharply in the coming time. Investors need to closely monitor global economic developments before making decisions. 🚀