The impact of increased tariffs on the cryptocurrency market is mainly reflected in the following aspects:
Market Conditions
- Price drop: Increasing tariffs will trigger trade tensions, leading to increased market concerns about the global economic outlook and a decline in investor risk appetite, which will lead to a sell-off of high-risk cryptocurrencies, causing prices to fall. For example, after Trump announced the imposition of tariffs on February 1, Bitcoin fell by more than 8% in a short period of time on February 3, and Ethereum fell by more than 19% in a short period of time.
- Increased volatility: Uncertainty about tariff policies and market concerns about their subsequent impact will significantly increase the volatility of the cryptocurrency market. The dramatic changes in investor sentiment have led to more frequent and intense buying and selling, further driving up price fluctuations and increasing the risk of liquidation. For example, after Trump signed the tariff increase executive order on February 1, the global cryptocurrency market was 1.3% higher within 24 hours. 418,000 people’s positions were liquidated.
Fund Flow
- Capital outflow: The economic uncertainty brought about by the increase in tariffs has made investors more inclined to hold safe-haven assets such as cash and gold or flow into traditional financial markets, resulting in a large outflow of funds from the cryptocurrency market, causing an imbalance in market supply and demand, further suppressing Cryptocurrency prices.
- Reduced investment: Investors’ confidence in the cryptocurrency market has been dampened. Funds originally planned to be invested in cryptocurrencies may be diverted to other more stable investment areas, resulting in a decrease in the inflow of new funds into the cryptocurrency market, affecting the development and expansion of the market.
Industry Development
- Strengthened regulation: Economic instability caused by increased tariffs may prompt governments to strengthen supervision of financial markets, including the cryptocurrency market, to maintain financial stability and prevent risks. Stricter regulatory policies may restrict the trading, use and development of cryptocurrencies and increase market uncertainty.
- Market differentiation: In the medium and long term, cryptocurrencies with practical application scenarios and strong technical support may gradually recover from market fluctuations with their own advantages; while cryptocurrencies lacking practical applications and technical support may suffer from capital outflow and market fluctuations. Lack of confidence and continued decline.