The cryptocurrency market has long been characterized by four-year cycles, each marked by a Bitcoin-led bull run followed by an altcoin season where capital rotates into smaller assets, generating massive gains.
However, the 2024–2025 cycle appears to be diverging from this pattern as Bitcoin dominance continues to rise, prompting discussions about whether altcoin season is effectively “canceled” this time. Some analysts argue that Bitcoin is permanently decoupling from the rest of the crypto market, while others believe the usual cycle will repeat, just with a delayed timeline.
To fully understand this, let’s examine:
Why crypto has a four-year cycle and why altseason has historically followed
Why Bitcoin dominance has kept rising in this cycle and why some analysts believe altseason is “canceled”
Why Ethereum and altcoins historically bottom out when QT (quantitative tightening) ends and QE (quantitative easing) begins
Where we stand in the 2025 monetary policy landscape
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