February continues the upward structure, which has been maintained since October 2024. January executed plan B, and the market is still in a sideways trend since November.
📊 Key levels for the month:
🔹 Support: 91,260 – 89,255 (has held for 3 months!)
🔹 Buffer zone: 101,430 – 99,420 (sometimes support, sometimes resistance).
🔹 Resistance: 109,590 – 111,590 (this is where we started to decline at the end of January).
🔹 Maximum growth targets: 120,755 and 131,925.
🔹 Deep correction: 80,090 and 70,930 (unlikely).
🟢 Positive scenario:
✅ Bounce from 101,430 – 99,420 (February 2–4), breakout 109,590 – 111,590 and rise to 120,755.
✅ From February 17–22, consolidation above 120,755 and its retest.
✅ By the end of the month — movement towards 131,925, closing around 130K.
🟡 Neutral scenario:
🔸 First, a dip to 91,260 – 89,255 (February 2–4), liquidity gathering.
🔸 Growth wave February 10–16 above 101,430 – 99,420.
🔸 Sideways in the buffer zone until February 20, then growth to 109,590 – 111,590.
🔸 Closing of the month around 109,590 – 111,590.
🔴 Negative scenario (unlikely):
⚠️ Drop to 91,260 – 89,255, then to 80,090 (V-shaped reversal).
⚠️ Quick recovery above 101,430 – 99,420, pullback to 91,260 – 89,255.
⚠️ Recovery to 109,590 – 111,590 and closing there for the month.
❌ A drop below 70,930 is not considered, as this is already a global bear market.
📈 Expectations:
I prefer the positive scenario — the market has accumulated strength over 3 months of sideways movement and is ready for growth. The neutral option is also good — it will allow liquidity to be gathered before a new impulse. The negative scenario is only possible in case of force majeure (black swan).
💎 BTC is ready for major movements! We are watching for the outcome.