INVESTIDEAUA
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Bearish
#BTC /USDT (1H timeframe) – Probability of scenarios
Current parameters:
Current price: $101854.30
Indicators:
RSI: 33.61 (oversold)
MA (moving averages):
7-day: $102177.71
25-day: $103107.72
99-day: $103411.35
SAR: $102985.56
Ichimoku: 102998.50$ – $103979.50
Volume: 1.911K
General analysis:
The price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, which confirms the bearish trend.
RSI (33.61) is in the oversold zone, which may lead to a short-term rebound.
Volumes remain average, but selling pressure prevails.
The price has broken down the 7-day moving average ($102177.71), which strengthens the bearish scenario.
Forecast by scenarios:
🔻 Short scenario (70%)
If the price consolidates below $101800, a further decline to $101500–$101000 is likely.
In case of a breakout of $101000, the next target is $100500.
🔼 Long scenario (30%)
A short-term rebound from the $101500–$101800$ zone towards $102500–$103000 is possible.
To change the trend, consolidation above $103,000 is necessary.
Conclusion:
The priority scenario is a continuation of the decline with a probability of 70%. However, a short-term rebound is possible due to the oversold RSI.
Current parameters:
Current price: $101854.30
Indicators:
RSI: 33.61 (oversold)
MA (moving averages):
7-day: $102177.71
25-day: $103107.72
99-day: $103411.35
SAR: $102985.56
Ichimoku: 102998.50$ – $103979.50
Volume: 1.911K
General analysis:
The price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, which confirms the bearish trend.
RSI (33.61) is in the oversold zone, which may lead to a short-term rebound.
Volumes remain average, but selling pressure prevails.
The price has broken down the 7-day moving average ($102177.71), which strengthens the bearish scenario.
Forecast by scenarios:
🔻 Short scenario (70%)
If the price consolidates below $101800, a further decline to $101500–$101000 is likely.
In case of a breakout of $101000, the next target is $100500.
🔼 Long scenario (30%)
A short-term rebound from the $101500–$101800$ zone towards $102500–$103000 is possible.
To change the trend, consolidation above $103,000 is necessary.
Conclusion:
The priority scenario is a continuation of the decline with a probability of 70%. However, a short-term rebound is possible due to the oversold RSI.
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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