#PCEInflationWatch

December 2024 was at 2.6%, aligning with expectations. This represents the highest level of PCE inflation since May 2024, suggesting that inflation pressures might be reaccelerating or at least stabilizing at a higher level than previously anticipated. The core PCE inflation rate, which excludes food and energy, was reported at 2.8% for the same period, also in line with expectations. This core rate is closely watched by the Federal Reserve as it conducts monetary policy, as it provides a clearer picture of underlying inflation trends by omitting the more volatile food and energy prices.

The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the PCE Price Index, has shown a slight uptick, which could influence future monetary policy decisions. There's an indication from market analyses that the Fed might pause its rate cuts in December due to these inflation figures, reflecting concerns about inflation reacceleration.

These recent figures highlight a complex economic environment where the Fed must balance fostering economic growth with managing inflation. The PCE data's alignment with expectations suggests a period of economic stability but with caution regarding potential inflation pressures.

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