The likelihood of PEPE reaching $1 is extremely low due to its current tokenomics and market conditions. Here’s an analysis to understand why:

1. Market Cap Requirements

• The total supply of PEPE is 420 trillion tokens.

• For PEPE to reach $1, its market capitalization would need to be:

• To put this into perspective, the entire crypto market cap as of now is around $1.5-2 trillion, and Bitcoin’s market cap is about $500 billion. A $420 trillion market cap is more than 200 times the size of Bitcoin and far beyond the global economy.

2. Burn Mechanisms or Supply Reduction

• For PEPE to realistically reach $1, a massive token burn (removing tokens from circulation) would need to occur to drastically reduce the supply. For example:

• If the supply is reduced to 1 billion tokens, the market cap at $1 would be $1 billion, which is achievable.

• However, there’s no indication of a significant burn mechanism being implemented.

3. Demand and Adoption

• For PEPE to reach $1, it would require astronomical demand and widespread adoption that surpasses Bitcoin or Ethereum.

Meme coins like PEPE generally rely on hype and speculation, and sustaining such demand over time is unlikely.

4. Realistic Price Movement

• Based on its current price of $0.00000146, a 100x increase would bring it to $0.000146, which is more plausible but still requires massive capital inflow and hype.

How Long Would It Take?

Given the unrealistic nature of a $1 price target, it may never happen unless:

1. The total supply is reduced by over 99.999%.

2. Unprecedented global adoption and demand occur.

Without these conditions, PEPE reaching $1 is not feasible in any foreseeable timeframe. A more realistic goal would be focusing on smaller milestones, such as $0.00001 or $0.0001, depending on market trends and developments.