The likelihood of PEPE reaching $1 is extremely low due to its current tokenomics and market conditions. Here’s an analysis to understand why:
1. Market Cap Requirements
• The total supply of PEPE is 420 trillion tokens.
• For PEPE to reach $1, its market capitalization would need to be:

• To put this into perspective, the entire crypto market cap as of now is around $1.5-2 trillion, and Bitcoin’s market cap is about $500 billion. A $420 trillion market cap is more than 200 times the size of Bitcoin and far beyond the global economy.
2. Burn Mechanisms or Supply Reduction
• For PEPE to realistically reach $1, a massive token burn (removing tokens from circulation) would need to occur to drastically reduce the supply. For example:
• If the supply is reduced to 1 billion tokens, the market cap at $1 would be $1 billion, which is achievable.
• However, there’s no indication of a significant burn mechanism being implemented.
3. Demand and Adoption
• For PEPE to reach $1, it would require astronomical demand and widespread adoption that surpasses Bitcoin or Ethereum.
• Meme coins like PEPE generally rely on hype and speculation, and sustaining such demand over time is unlikely.
4. Realistic Price Movement
• Based on its current price of $0.00000146, a 100x increase would bring it to $0.000146, which is more plausible but still requires massive capital inflow and hype.
How Long Would It Take?
Given the unrealistic nature of a $1 price target, it may never happen unless:
1. The total supply is reduced by over 99.999%.
2. Unprecedented global adoption and demand occur.
Without these conditions, PEPE reaching $1 is not feasible in any foreseeable timeframe. A more realistic goal would be focusing on smaller milestones, such as $0.00001 or $0.0001, depending on market trends and developments.