Cryptoharian – The year 2025 has begun, and investors have started analyzing historical data and seasonal patterns to predict how it will perform in February.

According to bitcoinmagazine.com, there is a close relationship between Bitcoin's performance and its halving cycle. Therefore, understanding this pattern can provide an idea of ​​the direction of future price movements.

From the data analyzed since 2010 until now, February has proven to be one of the best months for Bitcoin. On average, this month recorded a return of 13.62 percent, which places it among the strongest performing months.

In comparison, November recorded the highest average return of 43.74 percent, followed by October at 19.46 percent. In contrast, September was the weakest month with a negative average return of -1.83 percent.

A closer look at Bitcoin’s performance in February after the halving is very interesting. Halvings, which occur every four years, reduce the supply of new Bitcoin, creating scarcity that often drives the price up significantly. Here’s how February performed in the years after the halving.

The average return for February in these years has reached 40.74 percent, reflecting a consistent upward pattern in the early months after the halving. If this trend continues, February 2025 could also be a profitable month.

A Positive Start in January 2025

The year started on a positive note. In January 2025, Bitcoin recorded a return of 7.28 percent. This provides an early signal that the bullish sentiment is likely to continue in February. Based on past patterns, February returns in the post-halving year have typically ranged from 22 percent to 63 percent, with an average of around 40 percent.

There are several reasons that explain why February often records good performance after halving:

1. Supply Scarcity: Halving reduces the number of new Bitcoins in circulation, creating scarcity that drives prices up.

2. Market Momentum: Many investors are optimistic and more active in investing after the halving, so prices tend to rise.

3. Interest from institutions: In recent cycles, Bitcoin adoption by large financial institutions has increased, bringing greater flows into the market.

Written By: Crypto pump $BTC