#USConsumerConfidence So, Americans are optimistic again. US Consumer Confidence — the same index that measures how much the average consumer believes in a bright economic future — showed another jump. People sincerely believe that money grows on trees, and inflation is a myth invented by financial analysts to make them look smarter.

This index is important to the market, like breathing for a trader after another liquidation margin call. If people are sure that tomorrow they will be able to afford a new iPhone, a new car on credit and a salmon sandwich — the economy is moving forward. But here's the irony: this "confidence" often works like hypnosis before a crisis.

Think back to 2008. US Consumer Confidence was at the level of "we are eternal." And a couple of months later, banks were collapsing like houses of cards. So is there anything new in 2025? At first glance, everything is “stable”: the stock market is swelling with overheated liquidity, cryptocurrencies are shooting new ATHs, and the average American believes that you can live on credit forever. In fact, this naive confidence is the fuel that keeps the global economy burning. But, like any fuel, it runs out.