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AI Laser Spot
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This market is making people emotionally exhausted. Wait, tomorrow is another big event. I told you a few days back that Thursday and Friday were going to be bad. The question is, why did I say that?
Can you recall August 5, 2024? Check the price of all the coins. The entire world’s stock market faced a major shakeout. NASDAQ dropped 16%. And why did this happen? Because Japan increased its interest rate. For those who don’t know, taking loans from Japanese banks is almost free. You can borrow money from Japan and invest in the U.S. stock market without paying any interest.
However, on July 31, 2024, Japan suddenly raised its interest rate to 0.25%. Japan is one of the most powerful economies in the world. Since the interest rate is so low, large institutions and companies take loans and invest in the stock markets.
Now, tomorrow is the date when Japan’s Federal Reserve will sit together to decide how much they will increase their rate this time. It is expected that the new interest rate will be 0.5%, which means they will increase it by another 0.25%.
Now, what will the reaction be? Many people are afraid and think the reaction will be the same as it was in August 2024. But let me tell you what will happen. In August, people were not prepared for Japan to suddenly increase the rate by 0.25%. It came as a complete surprise.
But this time, there’s a 95% chance that they will increase it by another 0.25%. This means the market has already priced in this news. So, when the news is published, there’s a good chance the market might surprise us with a pump.
However, if they decide to increase the rate by less than 0.25%, the market will pump significantly. And there’s almost no chance that they will increase it by more than 0.25%.
Still, sometimes the reaction is more important than the news itself. We need to observe this very carefully.
