#BTC再创新高 1. Trump did not mention cryptocurrency in his inauguration speech, causing drastic fluctuations in the price of $BTC, dropping from 110k to 100k.
This indicates that the importance of cryptocurrency in current affairs is relatively low, which indeed has some impact on market sentiment.
This morning, Trump will sign a series of executive orders, some of which may involve the cryptocurrency industry, serving as a last hope.
2. Today is a working day in the United States, and tonight $BTC will welcome support from the spot ETF.
The current price is neither high nor low, with no clear direction; the long and short forces have been swept several times by Eastern speculators, making it quite dispersed.
Coinbase shows a negative premium, indicating a lack of confidence in the current spot price. However, due to low liquidity during the holiday, it is difficult to determine whether the data is accurate; confirmation will be needed when the market opens tonight.
3. On the 24th, the Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate policy, likely raising rates, but not by much.
The original words of the Bank of Japan officials: Unless Trump's inauguration causes market fluctuations, we will raise rates on the 24th.
I have never seen a central bank raise rates so reluctantly.
A rate hike in Japan will directly impact the US stock market and US bonds, while also affecting the cryptocurrency market. As for the extent of the impact, it will depend on how the market interprets it. Some investors might hedge as early as tonight.
