#交易心得 Today is officially a holiday, and I have returned to my hometown. I will have some time during the Spring Festival. Today, let's talk about the trend yesterday that made many people regret it. In fact, looking back now, it seems that every wave of trend has its inevitability. This can also be said to be the rationality of inferring the process based on the result. It can be said that this is hindsight. If every trend can be reviewed in this way, its cause and process, I believe it will be helpful for trading. The most unpredictable thing in the world is the human heart.

The reason why I want to talk about yesterday's market separately is, first of all, the huge changes in yesterday's market are one of the reasons, and secondly, yesterday's market really has traces to follow, and they are linked together, and it can even be said to be logical.

First of all, the price has been rising from 89,000 for a long time in the past few days, and it has set a historical record in terms of its strength and durability. There is nothing much to say about all this, because Trump is about to take office. This is known to everyone, and it is also a common consensus that the price of Bitcoin will reach a new high. Since it is about to reach a new high, what about the waterfall in the early morning? It is precisely this waterfall that further confirms the possibility of a new high. Looking at the historical trend, which planned new high was not preceded by a magic needle?

Combined with the trend after the pin action, there was almost no decent reset, which did not give any chance to those who missed the opportunity, and even gave up the halfway shock harvesting those who chased the rise, and then went straight to the sky. This journey was quite hasty, why?

I think there are two reasons:

1. Originally, considering the attitude of the banker in the past few days, it should be intended to make a crazy rise on the first day of Trump's inauguration, as a return of favor, as a special gift to Trump on his first day in office, because Trump himself is a staunch supporter of cryptocurrency. Don't think this reason is far-fetched. Who in the world doesn't like everyone to be happy? However, at this time, Trump was busy listing the whole family bucket. This series of operations undoubtedly angered people in the circle, especially the vested interest groups. So, I'm sorry, the originally planned congratulations were temporarily cancelled. You don't deserve it! I'm leaving first, so I bought firecrackers and set them off for fun in advance.

Another possibility is that the dealer has received some bad news in advance, but is still not 100% sure of the direction of the content. Everything is ready, the arrow is on the string, and it has to be shot. Moreover, the current momentum is still conducive to shooting the arrow. In short, it is better to shoot than not to shoot, so it is shot, which is what everyone sees. Combined with the fact that Trump did not mention it later, the second possibility is more likely. Combined with the subsequent high mountain waterfall, it has to be said that the dealer's previous concerns were not groundless.

$BTC $