#特朗普上任前风向分析 At the moment of Trump taking office, it can be considered a celebration for all. The CIP index meets expectations, and the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow Jones all show slight rebounds. The East Country has confirmed the dispatch of the deputy village head to participate in the inauguration speech meeting. It seems they want to repair the tense relationship between both sides.
But looking at the photos of Trump moving into the White House, one can tell that this term will definitely be marked by an iron fist and no mercy; it will no longer be about being fooled or led by the nose. Many decisions will require a precise strike. Many countries may not be feeling well about this.
Currently, indeed, Trump is facing some immediate pressures upon taking office. Treasury Secretary Yellen announced that the U.S. will reach its debt ceiling on Tuesday, January 21. She suggested that the U.S. Treasury begin implementing 'extraordinary measures.' Since 2020, the U.S. government has accumulated $13 trillion in debt. The last increase in the debt ceiling did not solve the debt crisis; it was merely set aside. This situation is unsustainable. Therefore, increasing tariffs is the top priority. Taxing to repay debt is only right.
Currently, in terms of pattern, BTC has experienced a continuous rise for several days, with a large bullish candle yesterday, and the upward momentum remains strong. The MACD is not at a high level, and the moving averages are in a bullish arrangement. Today is just a normal oscillation and pullback, with support around 102500 and near 99500. It has been mentioned that the previous high around 108000 is the first resistance level. Recently, do not easily short the market; it has not yet reached a real resistance level. Trump has not yet taken office, and the sentiment is still fermenting. To put it bluntly, those who short will be doomed.
On the four-hour level, it still remains in a bullish pattern, with increasing volume on the rise and decreasing volume on the pullback. From my personal view, a large pullback is not expected. The MACD has crossed down, and a slight pullback oscillation is indeed needed. It is still recommended to mainly focus on buying on dips. Support at 102500 for going long, with a stop loss near 99999.
The sentiment has not yet entered an extreme risk zone; there will still be a few days of rise. I personally suggest considering profit-taking around the 21st. For the medium to long term, I still recommend holding coins and waiting for an increase.
Many people see a pullback and think this wave of rise has ended, but I can say for sure, it will not be today. Hold onto the spot, it’s not yet the time for a crazy rise. Think back to the trading period of Trump; I can assure you it will at least be a fluctuating upward trend until around mid-February. Short-term profit-taking is fine, but if you want to catch the big wave, endure the ups and downs in between. I can definitively tell everyone that a relatively unilateral upward trend has already begun. $BTC
